Keyware Technologies (Belgium) Price Prediction
| KEYW Stock | EUR 0.79 0.02 2.60% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Keyware Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Keyware Technologies NV from the perspective of Keyware Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Keyware Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Keyware because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Keyware Technologies after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Keyware |
Keyware Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Keyware Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Keyware Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Keyware Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Keyware Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Keyware Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Keyware Technologies' historical news coverage. Keyware Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 3.04, respectively. We have considered Keyware Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Keyware Technologies is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Keyware Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Keyware Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Keyware Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Keyware Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Keyware Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.79 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
|
Keyware Technologies Hype Timeline
Keyware Technologies is now traded for 0.79on Euronext Brussels of Belgium. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Keyware is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Keyware Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.79. About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.79. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Keyware Technologies last dividend was issued on the 11th of September 2019. The entity had 1:50 split on the 3rd of December 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Keyware Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Keyware Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Keyware Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Keyware Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Keyware Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Keyware Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPTI | Crescent NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.42 | 0.06 | 13.04 | (7.81) | 46.06 | |
| IBAB | Ion Beam Applications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.21 | 4.61 | (2.06) | 10.29 | |
| NYR | Nyrstar NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.45 | 0.09 | 10.00 | (5.15) | 31.42 | |
| AGFB | AGFA Gevaert NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 6.38 | (7.55) | 19.32 | |
| ECONB | Econocom Group SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | (0.01) | 2.48 | (2.53) | 20.31 |
Keyware Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Keyware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Keyware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Keyware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Keyware Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Keyware Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Keyware Technologies NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Keyware Technologies based on analysis of Keyware Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Keyware Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Keyware Technologies's related companies.
Pair Trading with Keyware Technologies
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Keyware Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Keyware Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Keyware Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Keyware Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Keyware Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Keyware Technologies NV to buy it.
The correlation of Keyware Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Keyware Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Keyware Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Keyware Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Keyware Stock Analysis
When running Keyware Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Keyware Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keyware Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Keyware Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keyware Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keyware Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keyware Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.