KGHM Polska (Germany) Price Prediction
| KGHA Stock | EUR 30.17 0.18 0.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KGHM Polska hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KGHM Polska Miedz from the perspective of KGHM Polska response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KGHM Polska to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KGHM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KGHM Polska after-hype prediction price | EUR 29.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KGHM |
KGHM Polska After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KGHM Polska at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KGHM Polska or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KGHM Polska, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KGHM Polska Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KGHM Polska's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KGHM Polska's historical news coverage. KGHM Polska's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.59 and 32.39, respectively. We have considered KGHM Polska's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KGHM Polska is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KGHM Polska Miedz is based on 3 months time horizon.
KGHM Polska Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KGHM Polska is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KGHM Polska backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KGHM Polska, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.17 | 29.99 | 0.00 |
|
KGHM Polska Hype Timeline
KGHM Polska Miedz is now traded for 30.17on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KGHM is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on KGHM Polska is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.17. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.79. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KGHM Polska Miedz had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out KGHM Polska Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KGHM Polska Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KGHM Polska's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KGHM Polska's future price movements. Getting to know how KGHM Polska's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KGHM Polska may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRE1 | PRECISION DRILLING P | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.24 | (0.01) | 4.42 | (4.13) | 13.37 | |
| AS7 | ANTA SPORTS PRODUCT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | 0.10 | 7.11 | (3.91) | 30.04 | |
| VB2 | Vastned Retail NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | (0.17) | 1.46 | (1.24) | 3.52 | |
| JUU | RETAIL FOOD GROUP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | (0.01) | 3.90 | (2.38) | 12.19 | |
| CUW | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | (0.02) | 2.05 | (2.06) | 6.94 | |
| PL0 | Playa Hotels Resorts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.15 | 3.65 | (2.19) | 15.83 | |
| PL8 | Playtech plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.04 | 2.08 | (1.57) | 10.06 |
KGHM Polska Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KGHM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KGHM using various technical indicators. When you analyze KGHM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KGHM Polska Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KGHM Polska stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KGHM Polska Miedz, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KGHM Polska based on analysis of KGHM Polska hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KGHM Polska's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KGHM Polska's related companies.
Story Coverage note for KGHM Polska
The number of cover stories for KGHM Polska depends on current market conditions and KGHM Polska's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KGHM Polska is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KGHM Polska's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
KGHM Polska Short Properties
KGHM Polska's future price predictability will typically decrease when KGHM Polska's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KGHM Polska Miedz often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KGHM Polska's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KGHM Polska's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 200 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -300 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 403 M |
Complementary Tools for KGHM Stock analysis
When running KGHM Polska's price analysis, check to measure KGHM Polska's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KGHM Polska is operating at the current time. Most of KGHM Polska's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KGHM Polska's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KGHM Polska's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KGHM Polska to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios |