Knife River Stock Price Patterns
| KNF Stock | 78.46 1.54 1.93% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.536 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7167 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.3686 | Wall Street Target Price 96 |
Using Knife River hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knife River from the perspective of Knife River response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Knife River using Knife River's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Knife using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Knife River's stock price.
Knife River Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Knife River's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Knife. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Knife River stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 79.5135 | Short Percent 0.0677 | Short Ratio 6.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 74.8832 |
Knife River Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Knife River's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Knife. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Knife can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Knife River. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Knife River's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Knife River.
Knife River Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Knife River's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Knife River stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Knife River's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Knife River stock will not fluctuate a lot when Knife River's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Knife River to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Knife because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Knife River after-hype prediction price | USD 78.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Knife contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Knife River will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Knife River trading at USD 78.46, that is roughly USD 0.0289 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Knife River's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Knife River options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Knife River Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Knife River After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Knife River at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Knife River or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Knife River, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Knife River Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Knife River's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Knife River's historical news coverage. Knife River's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.18 and 81.44, respectively. We have considered Knife River's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Knife River is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Knife River is based on 3 months time horizon.
Knife River Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Knife River is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Knife River backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Knife River, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.68 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
78.46 | 78.81 | 0.45 |
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Knife River Hype Timeline
On the 10th of February Knife River is traded for 78.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Knife is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 78.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 144.09%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Knife River is about 632.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.54. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.9 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 201.68 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 549.39 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Knife River Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Knife River Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Knife River's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Knife River's future price movements. Getting to know how Knife River's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Knife River may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USLM | United States Lime | 1.94 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.08 | (3.59) | 10.78 | |
| TTAM | Titan America SA | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.93 | 0.12 | 3.81 | (3.10) | 9.24 | |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass | 1.86 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.61 | (5.16) | 10.44 | |
| CBT | Cabot | 1.14 | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.11 | 4.36 | (2.28) | 13.59 | |
| PRM | Perimeter Solutions SA | 0.67 | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.05 | 3.10 | (2.58) | 10.14 | |
| BCC | Boise Cascad Llc | (3.90) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.12 | 6.21 | (3.00) | 11.47 | |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies | 0.51 | 11 per month | 1.54 | 0.04 | 2.90 | (2.32) | 9.53 | |
| FUL | H B Fuller | 0.96 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.07 | 3.51 | (2.11) | 8.23 | |
| AVNT | Avient Corp | 1.19 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 3.71 | (2.45) | 8.89 | |
| SAND | Sandstorm Gold | (0.08) | 5 per month | 1.80 | 0.15 | 2.89 | (2.55) | 9.52 |
Knife River Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Knife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Knife River Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Knife River stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Knife River, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Knife River based on analysis of Knife River hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Knife River's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Knife River's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 34.4 | 33.65 | 30.28 | 26.57 | PTB Ratio | 2.96 | 3.9 | 3.51 | 2.27 |
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Complementary Tools for Knife Stock analysis
When running Knife River's price analysis, check to measure Knife River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Knife River is operating at the current time. Most of Knife River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Knife River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Knife River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Knife River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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