Knife River Stock Price Prediction

KNF Stock   98.30  0.65  0.67%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Knife River's the stock price is roughly 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 21st of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Knife, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Knife River's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Knife River and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Knife River's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Knife River, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Knife River's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.008
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.35
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.4667
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.9825
Wall Street Target Price
110.2143
Using Knife River hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knife River from the perspective of Knife River response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Knife River to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Knife because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Knife River after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 98.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Knife River Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Knife Stock please use our How to Invest in Knife River guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.0086.31108.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.3993.7096.00
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.0362.6769.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.860.870.88
Details

Knife River After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Knife River at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Knife River or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Knife River, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Knife River Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Knife River's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Knife River's historical news coverage. Knife River's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 96.48 and 101.10, respectively. We have considered Knife River's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
98.30
98.79
After-hype Price
101.10
Upside
Knife River is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Knife River is based on 3 months time horizon.

Knife River Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Knife River is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Knife River backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Knife River, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
2.31
  0.49 
  0.32 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
98.30
98.79
0.50 
171.11  
Notes

Knife River Hype Timeline

On the 21st of November Knife River is traded for 98.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.32. Knife is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 98.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 171.11%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Knife River is about 257.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.98. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.83 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 182.87 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Knife River Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Knife Stock please use our How to Invest in Knife River guide.

Knife River Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Knife River's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Knife River's future price movements. Getting to know how Knife River's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Knife River may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CXCemex SAB de(0.07)11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.31 (3.96) 13.18 
BCCBoise Cascad Llc(1.04)9 per month 2.00  0.05  4.41 (3.27) 11.78 
CRHCRH PLC ADR(0.56)7 per month 1.15  0.12  2.72 (2.08) 6.07 
EXPEagle Materials(0.92)9 per month 1.42  0.11  3.13 (2.12) 9.50 
JHXJames Hardie Industries(0.56)7 per month 2.09  0.01  5.65 (3.51) 16.43 
MLMMartin Marietta Materials(4.29)10 per month 1.52  0.03  2.71 (2.61) 8.83 
SUMSummit Materials 0.66 10 per month 1.79  0.12  4.05 (2.73) 9.88 
VMCVulcan Materials(1.52)9 per month 1.19  0.06  2.79 (2.39) 8.27 
ZJKZJK Industrial Co, 0.22 3 per month 7.54  0.05  15.63 (11.40) 63.65 

Knife River Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Knife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Knife River Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Knife River stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Knife River, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Knife River based on analysis of Knife River hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Knife River's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Knife River's related companies.
 2010 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding34.534.7534.438.01
PTB Ratio2.342.172.961.99

Story Coverage note for Knife River

The number of cover stories for Knife River depends on current market conditions and Knife River's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Knife River is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Knife River's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Knife River Short Properties

Knife River's future price predictability will typically decrease when Knife River's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Knife River often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Knife River's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knife River's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments262.3 M

Complementary Tools for Knife Stock analysis

When running Knife River's price analysis, check to measure Knife River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Knife River is operating at the current time. Most of Knife River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Knife River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Knife River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Knife River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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