Logistics Development (UK) Price Patterns

LDG Stock   15.15  0.10  0.66%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Logistics Development's stock price is about 68. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Logistics, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Logistics Development's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Logistics Development and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Logistics Development's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Logistics Development Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Logistics Development's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.95)
Using Logistics Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Logistics Development Group from the perspective of Logistics Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Logistics Development to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Logistics because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Logistics Development after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 15.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Logistics Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8012.4616.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.4515.1116.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8815.1317.37
Details

Logistics Development After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Logistics Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Logistics Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Logistics Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Logistics Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Logistics Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Logistics Development's historical news coverage. Logistics Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.51 and 16.83, respectively. We have considered Logistics Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.15
15.17
After-hype Price
16.83
Upside
Logistics Development is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Logistics Development is based on 3 months time horizon.

Logistics Development Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Logistics Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Logistics Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Logistics Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.68
  0.02 
  84.07 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.15
15.17
0.13 
1,120  
Notes

Logistics Development Hype Timeline

Logistics Development is now traded for 15.15on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -84.07. Logistics is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Logistics Development is about 0.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -68.92. The company reported the revenue of 1.28 M. Net Income was 17.37 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Logistics Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Logistics Development Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Logistics Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Logistics Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Logistics Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Logistics Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TYTToyota Motor Corp 0.00 8 per month 1.28  0.12  3.26 (2.29) 10.55 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp(6,300)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 10.41 (9.95) 109.63 
0J8PIDEXX Laboratories(5.77)10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.33 (2.47) 12.49 
0I6KDR Horton(1.95)7 per month 1.75  0.1  4.37 (3.15) 11.43 
0HBHAir Products Chemicals(1.62)8 per month 2.45  0.05  3.01 (2.79) 11.87 
0P4FFord Motor 0.35 8 per month 1.10  0.05  2.96 (2.22) 8.33 
0IC9Dominion Energy(0.27)9 per month 1.51  0.05  2.54 (2.32) 9.40 
0HW4Charter Communications Cl 3.65 4 per month 1.43  0.11  4.19 (2.89) 11.05 
DGEDDiageo plc 0.24 7 per month 1.57 (0.02) 2.95 (2.67) 7.15 

Logistics Development Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Logistics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Logistics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Logistics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Logistics Development Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Logistics Development stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Logistics Development Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Logistics Development based on analysis of Logistics Development hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Logistics Development's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Logistics Development's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for Logistics Stock analysis

When running Logistics Development's price analysis, check to measure Logistics Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Logistics Development is operating at the current time. Most of Logistics Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Logistics Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Logistics Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Logistics Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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