Lion Electric Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LEV Stock | CAD 0.28 0.01 3.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
22
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.56) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.40) | Wall Street Target Price 0.541 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.15) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.62) |
Using Lion Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lion Electric Corp from the perspective of Lion Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lion Electric to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lion Electric after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lion |
Lion Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lion Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lion Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lion Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lion Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lion Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lion Electric's historical news coverage. Lion Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 7.29, respectively. We have considered Lion Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lion Electric is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lion Electric Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lion Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lion Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lion Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lion Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.81 | 6.95 | 0.13 | 0.39 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.28 | 0.34 | 22.34 |
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Lion Electric Hype Timeline
Lion Electric Corp is now traded for 0.28on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.39. Lion is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 22.34%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.81%. The volatility of related hype on Lion Electric is about 3207.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.11. Lion Electric Corp has accumulated 341.93 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Lion Electric Corp has a current ratio of 3.5, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lion Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lion Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lion Electric Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lion Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Lion Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lion Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lion Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lion Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Lion Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lion Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LEV | Lion Electric Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 12.50 | (14.71) | 41.71 | |
| ATD | Alimentation Couchen Tard | 0.64 | 1 per month | 1.26 | (0.08) | 1.93 | (2.12) | 6.27 | |
| DOO | BRP Inc | (1.28) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 2.29 | (4.53) | 12.20 |
Lion Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Lion Electric Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lion Electric stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lion Electric Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lion Electric based on analysis of Lion Electric hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lion Electric's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lion Electric's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 239.7 | 164.28 | 108.91 | 128.33 | PTB Ratio | 4.37 | 0.99 | 1.11 | 1.05 |
Story Coverage note for Lion Electric
The number of cover stories for Lion Electric depends on current market conditions and Lion Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lion Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lion Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lion Electric Short Properties
Lion Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lion Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lion Electric Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lion Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lion Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 224.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.9 M |
Check out Lion Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.