Matahari Department (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| LPPF Stock | IDR 1,410 10.00 0.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
26
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Matahari Department hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Matahari Department Store from the perspective of Matahari Department response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Matahari Department to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Matahari because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Matahari Department after-hype prediction price | IDR 1400.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Matahari |
Matahari Department After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Matahari Department at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Matahari Department or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Matahari Department, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Matahari Department Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Matahari Department's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Matahari Department's historical news coverage. Matahari Department's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,398 and 1,402, respectively. We have considered Matahari Department's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Matahari Department is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Matahari Department Store is based on 3 months time horizon.
Matahari Department Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Matahari Department is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matahari Department backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Matahari Department, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,410 | 1,400 | 0.00 |
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Matahari Department Hype Timeline
Matahari Department Store is now traded for 1,410on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Matahari is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Matahari Department is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,410. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 629.56. Matahari Department Store last dividend was issued on the 14th of April 2022. The entity had 1:10 split on the 19th of November 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Matahari Department Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Matahari Department Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Matahari Department's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Matahari Department's future price movements. Getting to know how Matahari Department's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Matahari Department may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCMA | Surya Citra Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | (0.05) | 3.97 | (2.25) | 11.32 | |
| AKRA | Akr Corporindo Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.08 | (3.70) | 8.67 | |
| MNCN | Media Nusantara Citra | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.05 | (1.91) | 9.94 | |
| PTPP | Pembangunan Perumahan PT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.11 | (3.07) | 12.83 | |
| EXCL | XL Axiata Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.79 | (1.76) | 9.26 |
Matahari Department Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Matahari price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Matahari using various technical indicators. When you analyze Matahari charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Matahari Department Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Matahari Department stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Matahari Department Store, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Matahari Department based on analysis of Matahari Department hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Matahari Department's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Matahari Department's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Matahari Department
The number of cover stories for Matahari Department depends on current market conditions and Matahari Department's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Matahari Department is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Matahari Department's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Matahari Department Short Properties
Matahari Department's future price predictability will typically decrease when Matahari Department's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Matahari Department Store often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Matahari Department's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matahari Department's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 661.4 B |
Other Information on Investing in Matahari Stock
Matahari Department financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matahari Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matahari with respect to the benefits of owning Matahari Department security.