Liveperson Stock Price Prediction
| LPSN Stock | USD 0.84 0.02 2.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.16) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.32) | Wall Street Target Price 0.9625 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.22) |
Using LivePerson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LivePerson from the perspective of LivePerson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
LivePerson Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LivePerson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LivePerson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LivePerson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LivePerson. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LivePerson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LivePerson.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LivePerson to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LivePerson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LivePerson after-hype prediction price | USD 0.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LivePerson |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LivePerson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LivePerson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LivePerson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LivePerson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LivePerson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LivePerson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LivePerson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LivePerson's historical news coverage. LivePerson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 6.45, respectively. We have considered LivePerson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LivePerson is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LivePerson is based on 3 months time horizon.
LivePerson Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LivePerson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LivePerson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LivePerson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 5.58 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.84 | 0.87 | 3.57 |
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LivePerson Hype Timeline
LivePerson is now traded for 0.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. LivePerson is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 3.57%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.53%. The volatility of related hype on LivePerson is about 18600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.82. LivePerson currently holds 591.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out LivePerson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LivePerson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LivePerson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LivePerson's future price movements. Getting to know how LivePerson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LivePerson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
LivePerson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LivePerson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LivePerson using various technical indicators. When you analyze LivePerson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About LivePerson Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LivePerson stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LivePerson, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LivePerson based on analysis of LivePerson hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LivePerson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LivePerson's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 9.26 | 7.3 | 10.54 | 8.48 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 2.0E-6 | 61.23 | 11.24 | 10.68 |
Story Coverage note for LivePerson
The number of cover stories for LivePerson depends on current market conditions and LivePerson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LivePerson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LivePerson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LivePerson Short Properties
LivePerson's future price predictability will typically decrease when LivePerson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LivePerson often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LivePerson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LivePerson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 210.8 M |
Check out LivePerson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in LivePerson Stock, please use our How to Invest in LivePerson guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LivePerson. If investors know LivePerson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LivePerson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.75) | Revenue Per Share 3.826 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (1.38) |
The market value of LivePerson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LivePerson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LivePerson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LivePerson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LivePerson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LivePerson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LivePerson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LivePerson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LivePerson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.