Lojas Renner (Brazil) Price Prediction
| LREN3 Stock | BRL 15.68 0.88 5.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lojas Renner hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lojas Renner SA from the perspective of Lojas Renner response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lojas Renner to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lojas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lojas Renner after-hype prediction price | BRL 15.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lojas |
Lojas Renner After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lojas Renner at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lojas Renner or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lojas Renner, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lojas Renner Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lojas Renner's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lojas Renner's historical news coverage. Lojas Renner's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.30 and 18.06, respectively. We have considered Lojas Renner's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lojas Renner is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lojas Renner SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lojas Renner Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lojas Renner is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lojas Renner backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lojas Renner, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.68 | 15.68 | 0.00 |
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Lojas Renner Hype Timeline
Lojas Renner SA is now traded for 15.68on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lojas is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lojas Renner is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.68. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lojas Renner was now reported as 10.1. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.57. Lojas Renner SA last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2022. The entity had 10:11 split on the 23rd of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Lojas Renner Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lojas Renner Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lojas Renner's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lojas Renner's future price movements. Getting to know how Lojas Renner's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lojas Renner may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WEGE3 | WEG SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | (0.05) | 2.71 | (2.06) | 8.60 | |
| RENT3 | Localiza Rent a | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | (0.03) | 4.02 | (3.09) | 9.87 | |
| RADL3 | Raia Drogasil SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.94 | (1.95) | 5.57 | |
| ABEV3 | Ambev SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.26 | (1.75) | 6.31 | |
| MGLU3 | Magazine Luiza SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.72 | (4.84) | 13.98 |
Lojas Renner Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lojas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lojas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lojas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lojas Renner Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lojas Renner stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lojas Renner SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lojas Renner based on analysis of Lojas Renner hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lojas Renner's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lojas Renner's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Lojas Renner
The number of cover stories for Lojas Renner depends on current market conditions and Lojas Renner's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lojas Renner is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lojas Renner's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lojas Renner Short Properties
Lojas Renner's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lojas Renner's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lojas Renner SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lojas Renner's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lojas Renner's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 881.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
Additional Tools for Lojas Stock Analysis
When running Lojas Renner's price analysis, check to measure Lojas Renner's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lojas Renner is operating at the current time. Most of Lojas Renner's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lojas Renner's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lojas Renner's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lojas Renner to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.