MFC Industrial (Thailand) Price Prediction

M-II Stock  THB 6.60  0.10  1.49%   
The value of RSI of MFC Industrial's share price is above 70 as of now. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling MFC, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

76

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MFC Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFC Industrial Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using MFC Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MFC Industrial Investment from the perspective of MFC Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MFC Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MFC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

MFC Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 6.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out MFC Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.677.638.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.946.907.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.016.416.81
Details

MFC Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MFC Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MFC Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MFC Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MFC Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MFC Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MFC Industrial's historical news coverage. MFC Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.74 and 7.66, respectively. We have considered MFC Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.60
6.70
After-hype Price
7.66
Upside
MFC Industrial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFC Industrial Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

MFC Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MFC Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MFC Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MFC Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
0.99
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.60
6.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

MFC Industrial Hype Timeline

MFC Industrial Investment is now traded for 6.60on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MFC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on MFC Industrial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.60. About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.77. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MFC Industrial Investment last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out MFC Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFC Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MFC Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MFC Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how MFC Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MFC Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

MFC Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MFC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFC using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About MFC Industrial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of MFC Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MFC Industrial Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MFC Industrial based on analysis of MFC Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MFC Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MFC Industrial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for MFC Industrial

The number of cover stories for MFC Industrial depends on current market conditions and MFC Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MFC Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MFC Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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MFC Industrial Short Properties

MFC Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when MFC Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MFC Industrial Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MFC Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFC Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding172 M
Dividends Paid-105.8 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.6

Other Information on Investing in MFC Stock

MFC Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether MFC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MFC with respect to the benefits of owning MFC Industrial security.