Mitchells Butlers Plc Stock Price Prediction
| MBPFF Stock | USD 3.25 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mitchells Butlers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mitchells Butlers plc from the perspective of Mitchells Butlers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mitchells Butlers to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mitchells because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mitchells Butlers after-hype prediction price | USD 3.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mitchells |
Mitchells Butlers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mitchells Butlers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mitchells Butlers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mitchells Butlers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mitchells Butlers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mitchells Butlers' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mitchells Butlers' historical news coverage. Mitchells Butlers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.52 and 3.98, respectively. We have considered Mitchells Butlers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mitchells Butlers is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mitchells Butlers plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mitchells Butlers Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mitchells Butlers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mitchells Butlers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mitchells Butlers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.25 | 3.25 | 0.00 |
|
Mitchells Butlers Hype Timeline
Mitchells Butlers plc is now traded for 3.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mitchells is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mitchells Butlers is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.25. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mitchells Butlers plc last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2017. The entity had 34:41 split on the 18th of October 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Mitchells Butlers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mitchells Butlers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mitchells Butlers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mitchells Butlers' future price movements. Getting to know how Mitchells Butlers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mitchells Butlers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SGLOF | Food Life Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALSSF | Alsea SAB de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.56 | (4.78) | 19.57 | |
| MAWHF | Man Wah Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YMDAF | Yamada Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MRPZF | Mr Price Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LKFLF | Luk Fook Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.55 | 0.01 | 10.91 | (8.33) | 28.63 | |
| TPSRF | Topsports International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 5.00 | (2.56) | 29.55 | |
| NIFCY | Nifco Inc ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CYRBY | Cyrela Brazil Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.36 | 0.02 | 8.69 | (16.08) | 53.03 | |
| CGGGF | Coats Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.67 | (4.85) | 20.32 |
Mitchells Butlers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mitchells price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mitchells using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mitchells charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mitchells Butlers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mitchells Butlers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mitchells Butlers plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mitchells Butlers based on analysis of Mitchells Butlers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mitchells Butlers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mitchells Butlers's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Mitchells Butlers
The number of cover stories for Mitchells Butlers depends on current market conditions and Mitchells Butlers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mitchells Butlers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mitchells Butlers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Mitchells Pink Sheet analysis
When running Mitchells Butlers' price analysis, check to measure Mitchells Butlers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mitchells Butlers is operating at the current time. Most of Mitchells Butlers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mitchells Butlers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mitchells Butlers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mitchells Butlers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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