Mcdonalds Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| MDNDF Stock | USD 39.00 2.35 5.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
13
Oversold | Overbought |
Using McDonalds Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McDonalds Holdings from the perspective of McDonalds Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in McDonalds Holdings to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying McDonalds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
McDonalds Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 39.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
McDonalds |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
McDonalds Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of McDonalds Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McDonalds Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of McDonalds Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
McDonalds Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting McDonalds Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McDonalds Holdings' historical news coverage. McDonalds Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.59 and 40.41, respectively. We have considered McDonalds Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
McDonalds Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McDonalds Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
McDonalds Holdings Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as McDonalds Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McDonalds Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McDonalds Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.00 | 39.00 | 0.00 |
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McDonalds Holdings Hype Timeline
McDonalds Holdings is now traded for 39.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. McDonalds is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on McDonalds Holdings is about 237.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.07. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of McDonalds Holdings was now reported as 1554.76. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out McDonalds Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.McDonalds Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to McDonalds Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McDonalds Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how McDonalds Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McDonalds Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JBFCY | Jollibee Foods Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | (0.02) | 4.58 | (1.43) | 14.64 | |
| NATH | Nathans Famous | (0.89) | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.04 | 3.11 | (2.61) | 9.20 | |
| GTIM | Good Times Restaurants | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.49 | (4.59) | 16.72 | |
| CMPGY | Compass Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0.04) | 1.60 | (1.64) | 5.24 | |
| WING | Wingstop | 2.76 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.90 | (4.14) | 26.70 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | (0.04) | 7 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 4.22 | (4.50) | 10.62 | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.06 | 0.06 | 2.74 | (2.68) | 10.78 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | (0.81) | 10 per month | 1.79 | 0.01 | 3.27 | (2.45) | 10.31 | |
| DPZ | Dominos Pizza | 11.40 | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.01 | 2.92 | (2.11) | 7.92 | |
| MCD | McDonalds | (1.55) | 10 per month | 1.34 | (0.11) | 1.43 | (1.18) | 6.70 | |
| BROS | Dutch Bros | (1.56) | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.17 | 5.38 | (2.77) | 30.86 | |
| YUM | Yum Brands | (2.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.48 | (1.64) | 6.05 |
McDonalds Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine McDonalds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McDonalds using various technical indicators. When you analyze McDonalds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About McDonalds Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of McDonalds Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as McDonalds Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of McDonalds Holdings based on analysis of McDonalds Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to McDonalds Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to McDonalds Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for McDonalds Holdings
The number of cover stories for McDonalds Holdings depends on current market conditions and McDonalds Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McDonalds Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McDonalds Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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McDonalds Holdings Short Properties
McDonalds Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when McDonalds Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of McDonalds Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential McDonalds Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McDonalds Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133 M |
Complementary Tools for McDonalds Pink Sheet analysis
When running McDonalds Holdings' price analysis, check to measure McDonalds Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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