Bank Mega (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| MEGA Stock | IDR 4,830 20.00 0.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bank Mega hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Mega Tbk from the perspective of Bank Mega response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank Mega to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bank Mega after-hype prediction price | IDR 4810.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bank |
Bank Mega After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank Mega at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Mega or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank Mega, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank Mega Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank Mega's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Mega's historical news coverage. Bank Mega's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4,809 and 4,811, respectively. We have considered Bank Mega's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank Mega is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Mega Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank Mega Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Mega is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Mega backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Mega, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4,830 | 4,810 | 0.00 |
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Bank Mega Hype Timeline
Bank Mega Tbk is now traded for 4,830on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank Mega is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4,830. About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Bank Mega was now reported as 1757.42. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 345.0. Bank Mega Tbk last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2022. The entity had 1744113:10 split on the 10th of March 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Bank Mega Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bank Mega Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Mega's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Mega's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Mega's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Mega may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNIN | Paninvest Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.08 | 6.16 | (3.96) | 16.17 | |
| MREI | Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.97 | (2.25) | 6.89 | |
| PANS | Panin Sekuritas Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.11) | 1.53 | (1.22) | 4.26 | |
| WOMF | Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.12 | (1.65) | 7.14 | |
| LPPS | Lenox Pasifik Investama | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.61 | 0.06 | 7.50 | (5.19) | 43.08 |
Bank Mega Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bank Mega Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bank Mega stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank Mega Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank Mega based on analysis of Bank Mega hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank Mega's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank Mega's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bank Mega
The number of cover stories for Bank Mega depends on current market conditions and Bank Mega's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Mega is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Mega's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank Mega Short Properties
Bank Mega's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Mega's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Mega Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Mega's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Mega's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 B |
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Mega financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Mega security.