ETC Group (UK) Price Prediction
| METP Etf | 971.00 11.80 1.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ETC Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ETC Group Global from the perspective of ETC Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ETC Group to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ETC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ETC Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 971.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ETC |
ETC Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ETC Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ETC Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ETC Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ETC Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ETC Group's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ETC Group's historical news coverage. ETC Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 969.04 and 972.96, respectively. We have considered ETC Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ETC Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ETC Group Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
ETC Group Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ETC Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ETC Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ETC Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.96 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
971.00 | 971.00 | 0.00 |
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ETC Group Hype Timeline
ETC Group Global is now traded for 971.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. ETC is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on ETC Group is about 7840.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 970.99. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out ETC Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ETC Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ETC Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ETC Group's future price movements. Getting to know how ETC Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ETC Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGRU | ETC on CMCI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | (0.05) | 1.10 | (0.81) | 3.37 | |
| KOIP | ETC Group Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WWTU | ETC on CMCI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.82 | (2.45) | 6.47 | |
| LIVU | ETC on CMCI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.30 | 0.03 | 0.98 | (0.88) | 2.42 | |
| METR | ETC Group Global | (0.20) | 2 per month | 1.23 | 0.04 | 2.94 | (2.37) | 7.27 | |
| EEJG | iShares MSCI Japan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.23 | (1.43) | 4.38 | |
| IFSE | IShares Edge MSCI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCOV | IShares Covered Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
ETC Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ETC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ETC using various technical indicators. When you analyze ETC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ETC Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ETC Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ETC Group Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ETC Group based on analysis of ETC Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ETC Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ETC Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ETC Group
The number of cover stories for ETC Group depends on current market conditions and ETC Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ETC Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ETC Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in ETC Etf
ETC Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether ETC Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ETC with respect to the benefits of owning ETC Group security.