Metrogas (Argentina) Price Patterns

METR Stock  ARS 2,048  42.00  2.01%   
At this time, the value of RSI of Metrogas' share price is approaching 35. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Metrogas, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 35

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Metrogas' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Metrogas SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Metrogas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Metrogas SA from the perspective of Metrogas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Metrogas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Metrogas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Metrogas after-hype prediction price

    
  ARS 2090.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Metrogas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9621,9652,299
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,9471,9501,953
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-36.112,2314,499
Details

Metrogas After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Metrogas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Metrogas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Metrogas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Metrogas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Metrogas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Metrogas' historical news coverage. Metrogas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,087 and 2,093, respectively. We have considered Metrogas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2,048
2,090
After-hype Price
2,093
Upside
Metrogas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Metrogas SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Metrogas Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Metrogas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Metrogas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Metrogas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
2.79
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2,048
2,090
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Metrogas Hype Timeline

Metrogas SA is now traded for 2,048on Buenos Aires Exchange of Argentina. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Metrogas is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Metrogas is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,048. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Metrogas SA recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.63. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Metrogas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Metrogas Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Metrogas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Metrogas' future price movements. Getting to know how Metrogas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Metrogas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Metrogas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Metrogas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Metrogas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Metrogas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Metrogas Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Metrogas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Metrogas SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Metrogas based on analysis of Metrogas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Metrogas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Metrogas's related companies.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Complementary Tools for Metrogas Stock analysis

When running Metrogas' price analysis, check to measure Metrogas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metrogas is operating at the current time. Most of Metrogas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metrogas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metrogas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metrogas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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