Marvell Technology Group Stock Price Patterns
| MRVL Stock | USD 78.61 0.38 0.49% |
Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8308 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4863 | Wall Street Target Price 116.8048 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.7378 |
Using Marvell Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marvell Technology Group from the perspective of Marvell Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marvell Technology using Marvell Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marvell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marvell Technology's stock price.
Marvell Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Marvell Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Marvell Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Marvell Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 77.667 | Short Percent 0.0473 | Short Ratio 2.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 37.6 M | 50 Day MA 84.246 |
Marvell Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Marvell Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marvell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marvell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marvell Technology Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Marvell Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Marvell Technology.
Marvell Technology Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
Marvell Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marvell Technology Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marvell Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marvell Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marvell Technology's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marvell Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marvell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marvell Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 78.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Marvell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Marvell Technology Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Marvell Technology trading at USD 78.61, that is roughly USD 0.0329 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Marvell Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Marvell Technology Group options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Marvell Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marvell Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marvell Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marvell Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marvell Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marvell Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marvell Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marvell Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marvell Technology's historical news coverage. Marvell Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.47 and 81.69, respectively. We have considered Marvell Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marvell Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marvell Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marvell Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marvell Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marvell Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marvell Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 3.11 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
78.61 | 78.58 | 0.04 |
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Marvell Technology Hype Timeline
Marvell Technology is now traded for 78.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Marvell is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 78.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Marvell Technology is about 871.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.63. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Marvell Technology was now reported as 16.56. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.52. Marvell Technology last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 25th of July 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Marvell Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marvell Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marvell Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marvell Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Marvell Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marvell Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | 11.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.82 | (8.14) | 31.33 | |
| NET | Cloudflare | 0.57 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.77 | (5.38) | 19.40 | |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated | 7.39 | 8 per month | 2.38 | 0.18 | 6.89 | (4.48) | 20.55 | |
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV | (2.46) | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.09 | 5.55 | (3.09) | 14.37 | |
| SNPS | Synopsys | 1.89 | 9 per month | 2.55 | 0.04 | 3.80 | (4.05) | 13.31 | |
| RBLX | Roblox Corp | 4.69 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.71 | (6.43) | 23.70 | |
| TEL | TE Connectivity | (11.07) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.36 | (4.07) | 9.14 | |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | (9.82) | 8 per month | 2.39 | 0.09 | 4.79 | (4.47) | 11.71 | |
| INFY | Infosys Ltd ADR | 0.34 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.32 | (5.12) | 20.28 | |
| FTNT | Fortinet | 0.96 | 5 per month | 1.77 | 0 | 2.92 | (2.70) | 9.23 |
Marvell Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marvell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marvell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marvell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marvell Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marvell Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marvell Technology Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marvell Technology based on analysis of Marvell Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marvell Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marvell Technology's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003547 | 0.002124 | 0.002443 | 0.002321 | Price To Sales Ratio | 10.59 | 16.94 | 19.48 | 18.5 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Marvell Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marvell Technology. Expected growth trajectory for Marvell significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Marvell Technology assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 2.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.368 |
Understanding Marvell Technology requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Marvell's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Marvell Technology's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Marvell Technology's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Marvell Technology's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Marvell Technology represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Marvell Technology's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.