Defiance Leveraged Long Etf Price Prediction
| MST Etf | 6.44 0.46 6.67% |
Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Defiance Leveraged hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defiance Leveraged Long from the perspective of Defiance Leveraged response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Defiance Leveraged using Defiance Leveraged's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Defiance using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Defiance Leveraged's stock price.
Defiance Leveraged Implied Volatility | 3.04 |
Defiance Leveraged's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Defiance Leveraged Long stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Defiance Leveraged's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Defiance Leveraged stock will not fluctuate a lot when Defiance Leveraged's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Defiance Leveraged to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Defiance because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Defiance Leveraged after-hype prediction price | USD 5.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Defiance contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Defiance Leveraged Long will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.19% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Defiance Leveraged trading at USD 6.44, that is roughly USD 0.0122 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Defiance Leveraged's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Defiance Leveraged Long options at the current volatility level of 3.04%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Defiance | Build AI portfolio with Defiance Etf |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Leveraged's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Defiance Leveraged After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Defiance Leveraged at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Defiance Leveraged or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Defiance Leveraged, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Defiance Leveraged Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Defiance Leveraged's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Defiance Leveraged's historical news coverage. Defiance Leveraged's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.29 and 13.18, respectively. We have considered Defiance Leveraged's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Defiance Leveraged is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Defiance Leveraged Long is based on 3 months time horizon.
Defiance Leveraged Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Defiance Leveraged is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Defiance Leveraged backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Defiance Leveraged, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.06 | 7.48 | 0.74 | 0.08 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.44 | 5.70 | 11.49 |
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Defiance Leveraged Hype Timeline
On the 24th of December Defiance Leveraged Long is traded for 6.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Defiance is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -11.49%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -2.06%. The volatility of related hype on Defiance Leveraged is about 19684.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.52. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Defiance Leveraged Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Defiance Leveraged Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Defiance Leveraged's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Defiance Leveraged's future price movements. Getting to know how Defiance Leveraged's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Defiance Leveraged may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SNTH | MRP SynthEquity ETF | (0.24) | 2 per month | 0.98 | (0.04) | 1.25 | (1.61) | 3.52 | |
| BSTP | Innovator Buffer Step Up | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.51 | (0.06) | 0.74 | (0.87) | 2.25 | |
| WNTR | YieldMax MSTR Short | 0.72 | 3 per month | 1.87 | 0.26 | 4.82 | (3.60) | 10.19 | |
| RSEE | Collaborative Investment Series | 0.17 | 2 per month | 1.21 | (0) | 1.39 | (2.02) | 4.44 | |
| UPAR | Tidal ETF Trust | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.50 | 0 | 1.22 | (1.02) | 2.72 | |
| CRWG | Leverage Shares 2X | 0.99 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 15.78 | (16.77) | 56.22 | |
| MMKT | Texas Capital Funds | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (3.37) | 0.04 | (0.01) | 0.08 | |
| BIB | ProShares Ultra Nasdaq | (1.21) | 3 per month | 1.56 | 0.23 | 3.92 | (2.81) | 10.05 | |
| BSMY | Invesco BulletShares 2034 | (0.05) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.21 | (0.24) | 0.69 | |
| IONX | Defiance Daily Target | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 21.97 | (17.89) | 60.16 |
Defiance Leveraged Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defiance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defiance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defiance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Defiance Leveraged Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Defiance Leveraged stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Defiance Leveraged Long, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Defiance Leveraged based on analysis of Defiance Leveraged hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Defiance Leveraged's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Defiance Leveraged's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Defiance Leveraged
The number of cover stories for Defiance Leveraged depends on current market conditions and Defiance Leveraged's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Defiance Leveraged is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Defiance Leveraged's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Defiance Leveraged Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
The market value of Defiance Leveraged Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance Leveraged's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance Leveraged's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance Leveraged's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance Leveraged's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Leveraged's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Leveraged is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance Leveraged's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.