Maxlinear Stock Price Patterns
| MXL Stock | USD 17.11 0.12 0.70% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1423 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8648 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1402 | Wall Street Target Price 21.45 |
Using MaxLinear hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MaxLinear from the perspective of MaxLinear response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MaxLinear using MaxLinear's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MaxLinear using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MaxLinear's stock price.
MaxLinear Short Interest
An investor who is long MaxLinear may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MaxLinear and may potentially protect profits, hedge MaxLinear with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.2823 | Short Percent 0.0973 | Short Ratio 5.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.6 M | 50 Day MA 17.8964 |
MaxLinear Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MaxLinear's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MaxLinear. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MaxLinear can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MaxLinear. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MaxLinear's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MaxLinear.
MaxLinear Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
MaxLinear's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MaxLinear stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MaxLinear's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MaxLinear stock will not fluctuate a lot when MaxLinear's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MaxLinear to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MaxLinear because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MaxLinear after-hype prediction price | USD 17.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MaxLinear contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MaxLinear will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With MaxLinear trading at USD 17.11, that is roughly USD 0.009838 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MaxLinear's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MaxLinear options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
MaxLinear | Build AI portfolio with MaxLinear Stock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MaxLinear's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MaxLinear After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MaxLinear at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MaxLinear or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MaxLinear, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MaxLinear Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MaxLinear's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MaxLinear's historical news coverage. MaxLinear's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.71 and 20.95, respectively. We have considered MaxLinear's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MaxLinear is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MaxLinear is based on 3 months time horizon.
MaxLinear Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MaxLinear is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MaxLinear backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MaxLinear, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.59 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.11 | 17.33 | 0.58 |
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MaxLinear Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February MaxLinear is traded for 17.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. MaxLinear is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on MaxLinear is about 4432.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.14. The company reported the last year's revenue of 467.64 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (136.68 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 265.81 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out MaxLinear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MaxLinear Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MaxLinear's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MaxLinear's future price movements. Getting to know how MaxLinear's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MaxLinear may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UCTT | Ultra Clean Holdings | (0.36) | 6 per month | 3.44 | 0.18 | 7.86 | (6.48) | 17.36 | |
| PLAB | Photronics | 1.38 | 11 per month | 3.25 | 0.1 | 5.45 | (6.50) | 54.22 | |
| INDI | indie Semiconductor | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.76 | (5.97) | 19.05 | |
| COHU | Cohu Inc | 0.56 | 9 per month | 2.33 | 0.09 | 4.45 | (4.13) | 11.82 | |
| HIMX | Himax Technologies | (0.27) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.15 | (4.72) | 16.54 | |
| LASR | nLIGHT Inc | (0.14) | 9 per month | 4.16 | 0.12 | 6.51 | (6.19) | 23.42 | |
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | 0.40 | 9 per month | 3.24 | 0.02 | 5.70 | (5.51) | 44.62 | |
| AMPL | Amplitude | (0.41) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.19 | (5.35) | 14.37 | |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega | (0.30) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.18 | (5.36) | 30.53 | |
| ALIT | Alight Inc | (0.16) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.23 | (5.56) | 15.07 |
MaxLinear Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MaxLinear price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MaxLinear using various technical indicators. When you analyze MaxLinear charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MaxLinear Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MaxLinear stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MaxLinear, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MaxLinear based on analysis of MaxLinear hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MaxLinear's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MaxLinear's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 14.41 | 5.36 | 4.82 | 8.15 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 117.45 | 196.15 | 176.54 | 185.36 |
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The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out MaxLinear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy MaxLinear Stock please use our How to buy in MaxLinear Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MaxLinear. Expected growth trajectory for MaxLinear significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive MaxLinear assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Earnings Share (1.61) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.48 | Return On Assets |
The market value of MaxLinear is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MaxLinear that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MaxLinear's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MaxLinear's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MaxLinear's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MaxLinear's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MaxLinear's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MaxLinear represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, MaxLinear's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.