Novabay Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Prediction
| NBY Stock | USD 0.62 0.06 8.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.26) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.82) | Wall Street Target Price 3.725 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.30) |
Using NovaBay Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals from the perspective of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NovaBay Pharmaceuticals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NovaBay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price | USD 0.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NovaBay |
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NovaBay Pharmaceuticals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' historical news coverage. NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 8.36, respectively. We have considered NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is based on 3 months time horizon.
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NovaBay Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NovaBay Pharmaceuticals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 7.67 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 6 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.62 | 0.63 | 1.61 |
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NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is traded for 0.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. NovaBay is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.61%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.58%. The volatility of related hype on NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is about 6043.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.69. The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.73 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.64 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. Getting to know how NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NovaBay Pharmaceuticals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NovaBay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NovaBay using various technical indicators. When you analyze NovaBay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NovaBay Pharmaceuticals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals based on analysis of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 72.3 | 50.0 | 18.81 | 17.87 | PTB Ratio | 1.43 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.25 |
Story Coverage note for NovaBay Pharmaceuticals
The number of cover stories for NovaBay Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Short Properties
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' future price predictability will typically decrease when NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
Additional Tools for NovaBay Stock Analysis
When running NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.