Ncs Multistage Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| NCSM Stock | USD 22.95 0.06 0.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
78
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | Wall Street Target Price 56.08 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.15 |
Using NCS Multistage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NCS Multistage Holdings from the perspective of NCS Multistage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NCS Multistage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NCS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NCS Multistage after-hype prediction price | USD 22.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NCS |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NCS Multistage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NCS Multistage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NCS Multistage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NCS Multistage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NCS Multistage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NCS Multistage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NCS Multistage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NCS Multistage's historical news coverage. NCS Multistage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.15 and 25.55, respectively. We have considered NCS Multistage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NCS Multistage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NCS Multistage Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
NCS Multistage Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NCS Multistage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NCS Multistage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NCS Multistage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.70 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.95 | 22.85 | 0.44 |
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NCS Multistage Hype Timeline
NCS Multistage Holdings is now traded for 22.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. NCS is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on NCS Multistage is about 1681.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.98. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NCS Multistage Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2020. The firm had 1:20 split on the 1st of December 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out NCS Multistage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NCS Multistage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NCS Multistage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NCS Multistage's future price movements. Getting to know how NCS Multistage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NCS Multistage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
NCS Multistage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NCS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NCS using various technical indicators. When you analyze NCS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About NCS Multistage Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NCS Multistage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NCS Multistage Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NCS Multistage based on analysis of NCS Multistage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NCS Multistage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NCS Multistage's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 89.69 | 74.05 | 110.22 | 105.07 | PTB Ratio | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.48 | 0.46 |
Story Coverage note for NCS Multistage
The number of cover stories for NCS Multistage depends on current market conditions and NCS Multistage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NCS Multistage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NCS Multistage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
NCS Multistage Short Properties
NCS Multistage's future price predictability will typically decrease when NCS Multistage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NCS Multistage Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NCS Multistage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NCS Multistage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 M |
Check out NCS Multistage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NCS Multistage. If investors know NCS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NCS Multistage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | Earnings Share 17.27 | Revenue Per Share 60.575 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.15 | Return On Assets (0.0007) |
The market value of NCS Multistage Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NCS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NCS Multistage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NCS Multistage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NCS Multistage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NCS Multistage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NCS Multistage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NCS Multistage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NCS Multistage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.