New England Realty Stock Price Prediction
NEN Stock | USD 82.49 2.94 3.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.819 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
Using New England hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New England Realty from the perspective of New England response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in New England to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying New because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
New England after-hype prediction price | USD 82.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New England's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New England After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New England at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New England or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of New England, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
New England Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New England's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New England's historical news coverage. New England's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.99 and 85.11, respectively. We have considered New England's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New England is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New England Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
New England Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as New England is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New England backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New England, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.60 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
82.49 | 82.55 | 0.07 |
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New England Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November New England Realty is traded for 82.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. New is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 82.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on New England is about 7647.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.50. The company reported the last year's revenue of 74.48 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.45 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 46.84 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out New England Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.New England Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New England's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New England's future price movements. Getting to know how New England's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New England may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MAYS | J W Mays | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.31 | (3.62) | 11.71 | |
INTG | The Intergroup | 0.11 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.78 | (4.94) | 13.27 | |
TCI | Transcontinental Realty Investors | 0.69 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.60 | (3.18) | 9.83 | |
ARL | American Realty Investors | (0.53) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.61 | (5.49) | 16.57 | |
GYRO | Gyrodyne Company of | (0.1) | 2 per month | 1.44 | 0.06 | 3.72 | (3.78) | 32.97 |
New England Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About New England Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of New England stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as New England Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of New England based on analysis of New England hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to New England's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to New England's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0189 | 0.0362 | 0.0402 | 0.029 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.95 | 3.75 | 3.33 | 4.29 |
Story Coverage note for New England
The number of cover stories for New England depends on current market conditions and New England's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New England is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New England's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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New England Short Properties
New England's future price predictability will typically decrease when New England's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New England Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New England's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New England's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 102.9 M |
Check out New England Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New England. If investors know New will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New England listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.819 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 3.87 | Revenue Per Share 22.809 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
The market value of New England Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of New that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New England's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New England's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New England's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New England's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between New England's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New England is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New England's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.