NATIONAL MICROFINANCE (Tanzania) Price Prediction
| NMB Stock | 5,350 50.00 0.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
87
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NATIONAL MICROFINANCE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE BANK from the perspective of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NATIONAL MICROFINANCE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NATIONAL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NATIONAL MICROFINANCE after-hype prediction price | TZS 5350.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NATIONAL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NATIONAL MICROFINANCE Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NATIONAL MICROFINANCE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NATIONAL MICROFINANCE Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NATIONAL MICROFINANCE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NATIONAL MICROFINANCE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NATIONAL MICROFINANCE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5,350 | 5,350 | 0.00 |
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NATIONAL MICROFINANCE Hype Timeline
NATIONAL MICROFINANCE is now traded for 5,350on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange of Tanzania. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NATIONAL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on NATIONAL MICROFINANCE is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5,350. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.NATIONAL MICROFINANCE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's future price movements. Getting to know how NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NATIONAL MICROFINANCE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NMB | NATIONAL MICROFINANCE BANK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.81 | |
| NICO | NATIONAL INVESTMENT PANY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.84 | 0.11 | 2.78 | (2.67) | 880.71 | |
| MBP | MAENDELEO BANK PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 17.30 | |
| MUCOBA | MUCOBA BANK PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KCB | KENYA MERCIAL BANK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 3.23 | (2.50) | 11.14 | |
| NMG | NATION MEDIA GROUP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.06 | (8.82) | 21.50 | |
| AFRIPRISE | AFRIPRISE INVESTMENT PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | (0.07) | 4.00 | (2.17) | 8.51 |
NATIONAL MICROFINANCE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NATIONAL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NATIONAL using various technical indicators. When you analyze NATIONAL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Story Coverage note for NATIONAL MICROFINANCE
The number of cover stories for NATIONAL MICROFINANCE depends on current market conditions and NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NATIONAL MICROFINANCE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for NATIONAL Stock analysis
When running NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's price analysis, check to measure NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NATIONAL MICROFINANCE is operating at the current time. Most of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NATIONAL MICROFINANCE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NATIONAL MICROFINANCE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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