Nouveau Monde Graphite Stock Price Prediction

NMG Stock  USD 2.26  0.10  4.63%   
As of 17th of January 2025, The relative strength momentum indicator of Nouveau Monde's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nouveau Monde, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nouveau Monde's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nouveau Monde and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nouveau Monde's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nouveau Monde Graphite, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nouveau Monde's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.52)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.30)
Wall Street Target Price
2.906
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.14)
Using Nouveau Monde hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nouveau Monde Graphite from the perspective of Nouveau Monde response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nouveau Monde using Nouveau Monde's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nouveau using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nouveau Monde's stock price.

Nouveau Monde Implied Volatility

    
  1.87  
Nouveau Monde's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nouveau Monde Graphite stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nouveau Monde's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nouveau Monde stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nouveau Monde's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nouveau Monde to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nouveau because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nouveau Monde after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nouveau Monde Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.467.99
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.642.903.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.16-0.13-0.1
Details

Nouveau Monde After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nouveau Monde at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nouveau Monde or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nouveau Monde, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nouveau Monde Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nouveau Monde's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nouveau Monde's historical news coverage. Nouveau Monde's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 7.77, respectively. We have considered Nouveau Monde's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.26
2.24
After-hype Price
7.77
Upside
Nouveau Monde is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nouveau Monde Graphite is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nouveau Monde Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nouveau Monde is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nouveau Monde backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nouveau Monde, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.73 
5.53
  0.02 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.26
2.24
0.88 
18,433  
Notes

Nouveau Monde Hype Timeline

On the 17th of January 2025 Nouveau Monde Graphite is traded for 2.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Nouveau is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.88%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.73%. The volatility of related hype on Nouveau Monde is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.26. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Nouveau Monde was now reported as 0.89. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.55. Nouveau Monde Graphite had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 31st of March 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Nouveau Monde Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nouveau Monde Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nouveau Monde's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nouveau Monde's future price movements. Getting to know how Nouveau Monde's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nouveau Monde may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MGPHFMason Graphite 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 17.46 (10.09) 32.58 
NGPHFNorthern Graphite 0.00 0 per month 9.42  0.13  20.00 (21.54) 63.08 
GPHOFGraphite One 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.38 (5.36) 22.66 
LMRMFLomiko Metals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 9.89 (9.09) 34.32 
IIDDYIGO Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  25.74 
SYAAFSyrah Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 5.83 (0.0003) 9.09 (8.33) 38.33 
FCSMFFocus Graphite 0.00 0 per month 7.29  0.03  20.00 (16.67) 36.67 
ALTAFAltura Mining Limited 0.00 0 per month 28.14  0.12  110.53 (67.50) 7,276 
VULMFVulcan Minerals 0.00 0 per month 8.15  0.03  8.43 (22.71) 126.52 
RFLXFREDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD 0.00 0 per month 13.67  0.08  39.64 (23.69) 90.33 
ALCUFAlpha Copper Corp 0.00 0 per month 6.18  0.08  18.18 (10.00) 40.18 
LEMIFLeading Edge Materials 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 8.33 (8.57) 29.68 
LMMFFLithium Australia NL 0.00 0 per month 9.55  0.04  21.00 (7.55) 100.77 
ARRRFArdea Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.56 (10.00) 24.75 
BLSTFBlackstone Minerals 0.00 0 per month 14.78  0.13  42.86 (18.67) 490.62 
CYLYFCeylon Graphite Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 12.17 (15.79) 90.44 

Nouveau Monde Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nouveau price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nouveau using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nouveau charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nouveau Monde Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nouveau Monde stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nouveau Monde Graphite, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nouveau Monde based on analysis of Nouveau Monde hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nouveau Monde's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nouveau Monde's related companies.
 2024 2025 (projected)
Payables Turnover3.33.47
Days Of Inventory On Hand60.9973.48

Story Coverage note for Nouveau Monde

The number of cover stories for Nouveau Monde depends on current market conditions and Nouveau Monde's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nouveau Monde is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nouveau Monde's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nouveau Monde Short Properties

Nouveau Monde's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nouveau Monde's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nouveau Monde Graphite often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nouveau Monde's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nouveau Monde's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.3 M

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