Norwegian Air (Germany) Price Prediction

NWC Stock  EUR 0.93  0.02  2.11%   
As of 26th of November 2024 the value of rsi of Norwegian Air's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

52

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Norwegian Air's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Norwegian Air and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Norwegian Air's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Norwegian Air Shuttle, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Norwegian Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Norwegian Air Shuttle from the perspective of Norwegian Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Norwegian Air to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Norwegian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Norwegian Air after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Norwegian Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.804.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.924.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.890.930.97
Details

Norwegian Air After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Norwegian Air at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Norwegian Air or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Norwegian Air, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Norwegian Air Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Norwegian Air's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Norwegian Air's historical news coverage. Norwegian Air's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 4.21, respectively. We have considered Norwegian Air's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.93
0.93
After-hype Price
4.21
Upside
Norwegian Air is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Norwegian Air Shuttle is based on 3 months time horizon.

Norwegian Air Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Norwegian Air is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Norwegian Air backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Norwegian Air, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
3.29
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.93
0.93
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Norwegian Air Hype Timeline

Norwegian Air Shuttle is now traded for 0.93on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Norwegian is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Norwegian Air is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.93. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.65. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Norwegian Air Shuttle had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:100 split on the 18th of December 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Norwegian Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Norwegian Air Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Norwegian Air's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Norwegian Air's future price movements. Getting to know how Norwegian Air's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Norwegian Air may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Norwegian Air Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Norwegian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Norwegian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Norwegian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Norwegian Air Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Norwegian Air stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Norwegian Air Shuttle, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norwegian Air based on analysis of Norwegian Air hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Norwegian Air's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Norwegian Air's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Norwegian Air

The number of cover stories for Norwegian Air depends on current market conditions and Norwegian Air's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Norwegian Air is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Norwegian Air's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Norwegian Air Short Properties

Norwegian Air's future price predictability will typically decrease when Norwegian Air's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Norwegian Air Shuttle often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Norwegian Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norwegian Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding928.4 M

Complementary Tools for Norwegian Stock analysis

When running Norwegian Air's price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Air is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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