Kraneshares Msci One Etf Price Prediction
| OBOR Etf | USD 28.81 0.31 1.09% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KraneShares MSCI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares MSCI One from the perspective of KraneShares MSCI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KraneShares MSCI using KraneShares MSCI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KraneShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KraneShares MSCI's stock price.
KraneShares MSCI Implied Volatility | 0.33 |
KraneShares MSCI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KraneShares MSCI One stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KraneShares MSCI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KraneShares MSCI stock will not fluctuate a lot when KraneShares MSCI's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KraneShares MSCI to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KraneShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KraneShares MSCI after-hype prediction price | USD 27.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KraneShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KraneShares MSCI One will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With KraneShares MSCI trading at USD 28.81, that is roughly USD 0.005942 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KraneShares MSCI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KraneShares MSCI One options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
KraneShares | Build AI portfolio with KraneShares Etf |
KraneShares MSCI After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KraneShares MSCI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KraneShares MSCI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of KraneShares MSCI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KraneShares MSCI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KraneShares MSCI's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KraneShares MSCI's historical news coverage. KraneShares MSCI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.20 and 31.69, respectively. We have considered KraneShares MSCI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KraneShares MSCI is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KraneShares MSCI One is based on 3 months time horizon.
KraneShares MSCI Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as KraneShares MSCI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KraneShares MSCI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KraneShares MSCI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.81 | 27.98 | 2.88 |
|
KraneShares MSCI Hype Timeline
KraneShares MSCI One is now traded for 28.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.83, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. KraneShares is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 21.67%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.88%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on KraneShares MSCI is about 1098.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.79. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out KraneShares MSCI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KraneShares MSCI Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KraneShares MSCI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KraneShares MSCI's future price movements. Getting to know how KraneShares MSCI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KraneShares MSCI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADVE | Matthews International Funds | (0.08) | 3 per month | 0.56 | 0.05 | 1.30 | (1.09) | 3.58 | |
| EPMV | Harbor ETF Trust | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.68 | 0.06 | 1.98 | (1.35) | 3.99 | |
| QCMU | Direxion Daily QCOM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.08 | (7.92) | 31.73 | |
| DVDN | ETF Opportunities Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.80 | (1.34) | 4.88 | |
| ITDJ | iShares Trust | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.66 | (0.01) | 1.01 | (1.18) | 3.10 | |
| EPMB | Harbor ETF Trust | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.53 | 0.10 | 1.83 | (1.07) | 3.48 | |
| USNG | Amplify Samsung Natural | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.04 | 1.55 | (1.54) | 4.27 | |
| NVIR | Listed Funds Trust | (0.28) | 2 per month | 0.81 | 0.1 | 1.75 | (1.42) | 4.07 | |
| ETEC | iShares Breakthrough Environmental | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.10 | 0.01 | 1.88 | (2.04) | 5.26 | |
| AGMI | Themes Silver Miners | (0.34) | 2 per month | 2.49 | 0.21 | 5.63 | (5.10) | 11.42 |
KraneShares MSCI Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KraneShares MSCI Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KraneShares MSCI stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KraneShares MSCI One, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KraneShares MSCI based on analysis of KraneShares MSCI hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KraneShares MSCI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KraneShares MSCI's related companies.
Pair Trading with KraneShares MSCI
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if KraneShares MSCI position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in KraneShares MSCI will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with KraneShares Etf
Moving against KraneShares Etf
| 0.87 | VXX | iPath Series B | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | VIXY | ProShares VIX Short | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | VIXM | ProShares VIX Mid | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | VXZ | iPath Series B | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | YCL | ProShares Ultra Yen | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | FXY | Invesco CurrencyShares | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to KraneShares MSCI could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace KraneShares MSCI when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back KraneShares MSCI - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling KraneShares MSCI One to buy it.
The correlation of KraneShares MSCI is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as KraneShares MSCI moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if KraneShares MSCI One moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for KraneShares MSCI can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out KraneShares MSCI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
The market value of KraneShares MSCI One is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares MSCI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares MSCI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares MSCI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares MSCI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares MSCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares MSCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares MSCI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.