Omnicell Stock Price Prediction
OMCL Stock | USD 45.96 0.27 0.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.558 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.47 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.685 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8081 | Wall Street Target Price 56.5 |
Using Omnicell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Omnicell from the perspective of Omnicell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Omnicell to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Omnicell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Omnicell after-hype prediction price | USD 45.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Omnicell |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omnicell's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Omnicell After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Omnicell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Omnicell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Omnicell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Omnicell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Omnicell's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Omnicell's historical news coverage. Omnicell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.02 and 50.62, respectively. We have considered Omnicell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Omnicell is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Omnicell is based on 3 months time horizon.
Omnicell Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Omnicell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Omnicell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Omnicell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 4.80 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.96 | 45.82 | 0.30 |
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Omnicell Hype Timeline
Omnicell is now traded for 45.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Omnicell is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 45.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Omnicell is about 2782.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.94. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Omnicell has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.28. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.39. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Omnicell Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Omnicell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Omnicell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Omnicell's future price movements. Getting to know how Omnicell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Omnicell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
HSTM | HealthStream | (1.65) | 8 per month | 1.32 | 0.05 | 2.33 | (2.00) | 10.49 | |
NRC | National Research Corp | (0.12) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.51 | (4.72) | 13.17 | |
NXGN | Nextgen Healthcare | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.81 | (2.35) | 7.28 | |
FORA | Forian Inc | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.82 | (2.38) | 12.38 | |
AGTI | Agiliti | 0.27 | 32 per month | 2.87 | (0.04) | 4.03 | (4.45) | 10.75 | |
MDRX | Veradigm | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | (0.01) | 2.58 | (3.07) | 8.73 | |
CPSI | CPSI Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.85 | (3.01) | 14.25 | |
DH | Definitive Healthcare Corp | 0.04 | 8 per month | 2.42 | (0.02) | 4.37 | (4.00) | 13.20 | |
EVH | Evolent Health | (0.66) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.48 | (5.92) | 51.11 | |
CMAX | CareMax | (0.07) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 12.64 | (11.63) | 80.24 | |
CERT | Certara | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.48 | (4.01) | 15.96 | |
RCM | R1 RCM Inc | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.69) | 0.29 | (0.21) | 0.64 |
Omnicell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Omnicell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Omnicell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Omnicell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Omnicell Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Omnicell stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Omnicell, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Omnicell based on analysis of Omnicell hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Omnicell's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Omnicell's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 8.07 | 11.15 | 14.37 | 8.19 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 75.81 | 76.18 | 62.09 | 85.21 |
Story Coverage note for Omnicell
The number of cover stories for Omnicell depends on current market conditions and Omnicell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Omnicell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Omnicell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Omnicell Short Properties
Omnicell's future price predictability will typically decrease when Omnicell's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Omnicell often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Omnicell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omnicell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 468 M |
Check out Omnicell Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Omnicell Stock please use our How to buy in Omnicell Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Health Care Technology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Omnicell. If investors know Omnicell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Omnicell listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.558 | Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share 23.218 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Omnicell is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Omnicell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Omnicell's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Omnicell's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Omnicell's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Omnicell's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omnicell's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omnicell is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omnicell's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.