Old Mutual (UK) Price Prediction
| OMU Stock | 55.20 0.70 1.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.274 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0625 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0686 | Wall Street Target Price 55.83 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.085 |
Using Old Mutual hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Old Mutual from the perspective of Old Mutual response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Old Mutual to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Old because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Old Mutual after-hype prediction price | GBX 54.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Old |
Old Mutual After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Old Mutual at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Old Mutual or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Old Mutual, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Old Mutual Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Old Mutual's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Old Mutual's historical news coverage. Old Mutual's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.24 and 72.76, respectively. We have considered Old Mutual's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Old Mutual is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Old Mutual is based on 3 months time horizon.
Old Mutual Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Old Mutual is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Old Mutual backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Old Mutual, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.41 | 18.76 | 1.20 | 0.07 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
55.20 | 54.00 | 2.17 |
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Old Mutual Hype Timeline
Old Mutual is now traded for 55.20on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Old is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 54.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -2.17%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 2.41%. The volatility of related hype on Old Mutual is about 62533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.27. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Old Mutual last dividend was issued on the 17th of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Old Mutual Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Old Mutual Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Old Mutual's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Old Mutual's future price movements. Getting to know how Old Mutual's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Old Mutual may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMSD | Samsung Electronics Co | 7.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.80 | (3.78) | 10.50 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | (10.00) | 2 per month | 3.15 | (0.01) | 4.95 | (4.25) | 18.21 | |
| 0RQ9 | Lundin Mining Corp | (0.57) | 2 per month | 2.97 | (0.01) | 5.40 | (5.40) | 13.38 | |
| GAMA | Gamma Communications PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | (0.03) | 1.77 | (2.00) | 16.38 | |
| HOC | Hochschild Mining plc | (1.00) | 3 per month | 2.44 | 0.08 | 6.30 | (5.13) | 16.16 | |
| BRWM | Blackrock World Mining | 6.92 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.22 | (3.07) | 7.91 | |
| 0INB | STMicroelectronics NV | (0.46) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 9.91 | |
| FUM | Futura Medical | (1.65) | 4 per month | 2.32 | (0.02) | 3.73 | (3.99) | 26.57 |
Old Mutual Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Old price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Old using various technical indicators. When you analyze Old charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Old Mutual Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Old Mutual stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Old Mutual, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old Mutual based on analysis of Old Mutual hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Old Mutual's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Old Mutual's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Old Mutual
The number of cover stories for Old Mutual depends on current market conditions and Old Mutual's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Old Mutual is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Old Mutual's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Old Mutual Short Properties
Old Mutual's future price predictability will typically decrease when Old Mutual's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Old Mutual often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Old Mutual's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Old Mutual's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Old Stock analysis
When running Old Mutual's price analysis, check to measure Old Mutual's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Old Mutual is operating at the current time. Most of Old Mutual's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Old Mutual's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Old Mutual's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Old Mutual to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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