OMV Aktiengesellscha (Austria) Price Prediction
| OMV Stock | EUR 39.88 0.54 1.37% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using OMV Aktiengesellscha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OMV Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of OMV Aktiengesellscha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OMV Aktiengesellscha to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OMV because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OMV Aktiengesellscha after-hype prediction price | EUR 39.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OMV |
OMV Aktiengesellscha After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OMV Aktiengesellscha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OMV Aktiengesellscha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OMV Aktiengesellscha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OMV Aktiengesellscha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OMV Aktiengesellscha's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OMV Aktiengesellscha's historical news coverage. OMV Aktiengesellscha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.83 and 40.93, respectively. We have considered OMV Aktiengesellscha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OMV Aktiengesellscha is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OMV Aktiengesellschaft is based on 3 months time horizon.
OMV Aktiengesellscha Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OMV Aktiengesellscha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OMV Aktiengesellscha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OMV Aktiengesellscha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.88 | 39.88 | 0.00 |
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OMV Aktiengesellscha Hype Timeline
OMV Aktiengesellschaft is now traded for 39.88on Vienna Exchange of Austria. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OMV is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on OMV Aktiengesellscha is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.88. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.77. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OMV Aktiengesellschaft recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.82. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2023. The firm had 10:1 split on the 11th of July 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out OMV Aktiengesellscha Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OMV Aktiengesellscha Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OMV Aktiengesellscha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OMV Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. Getting to know how OMV Aktiengesellscha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OMV Aktiengesellscha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VOE | Voestalpine AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | (0.03) | 2.74 | (2.89) | 8.78 | |
| EBS | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.18 | 2.07 | (1.69) | 8.69 | |
| RBI | Raiffeisen Bank International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.1 | 2.93 | (3.05) | 9.45 | |
| VER | VERBUND AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.90 | (2.79) | 9.30 | |
| WIE | Wienerberger AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | (0.03) | 2.51 | (2.54) | 6.46 |
OMV Aktiengesellscha Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OMV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OMV using various technical indicators. When you analyze OMV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OMV Aktiengesellscha Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OMV Aktiengesellscha stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OMV Aktiengesellschaft, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OMV Aktiengesellscha based on analysis of OMV Aktiengesellscha hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OMV Aktiengesellscha's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OMV Aktiengesellscha's related companies.
Story Coverage note for OMV Aktiengesellscha
The number of cover stories for OMV Aktiengesellscha depends on current market conditions and OMV Aktiengesellscha's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OMV Aktiengesellscha is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OMV Aktiengesellscha's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OMV Aktiengesellscha Short Properties
OMV Aktiengesellscha's future price predictability will typically decrease when OMV Aktiengesellscha's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OMV Aktiengesellschaft often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OMV Aktiengesellscha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OMV Aktiengesellscha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 327 M |
Complementary Tools for OMV Stock analysis
When running OMV Aktiengesellscha's price analysis, check to measure OMV Aktiengesellscha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OMV Aktiengesellscha is operating at the current time. Most of OMV Aktiengesellscha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OMV Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OMV Aktiengesellscha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OMV Aktiengesellscha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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