Oxford Lane Capital Stock Price Prediction
| OXLCN Stock | USD 23.86 0.05 0.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.345 |
Using Oxford Lane hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oxford Lane Capital from the perspective of Oxford Lane response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oxford Lane to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oxford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Oxford Lane after-hype prediction price | USD 23.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oxford |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oxford Lane's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oxford Lane After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oxford Lane at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oxford Lane or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oxford Lane, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oxford Lane Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oxford Lane's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oxford Lane's historical news coverage. Oxford Lane's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.41 and 24.31, respectively. We have considered Oxford Lane's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oxford Lane is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oxford Lane Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oxford Lane Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oxford Lane is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oxford Lane backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oxford Lane, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.86 | 23.86 | 0.00 |
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Oxford Lane Hype Timeline
Oxford Lane Capital is now traded for 23.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Oxford is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oxford Lane is about 7500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.86. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Oxford Lane Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Oxford Lane Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oxford Lane's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oxford Lane's future price movements. Getting to know how Oxford Lane's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oxford Lane may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PWUP | PowerUp Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 2.43 | (0.02) | 4.50 | (4.59) | 20.77 | |
| AUROW | Aurora Innovation | (0.05) | 3 per month | 7.73 | 0.20 | 26.47 | (11.84) | 99.11 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.93 | (4.56) | 16.62 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRRAY | Barloworld Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | (2.98) | 34.02 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.13) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.41) | 0.34 | (0.33) | 1.91 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.60) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| SCAXF | Sparta Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.47 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.02) | 2.28 | (1.15) | 7.18 |
Oxford Lane Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oxford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oxford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oxford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Oxford Lane Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Oxford Lane stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oxford Lane Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oxford Lane based on analysis of Oxford Lane hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oxford Lane's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oxford Lane's related companies. | 2021 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.8 | 0.86 | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.12 |
Story Coverage note for Oxford Lane
The number of cover stories for Oxford Lane depends on current market conditions and Oxford Lane's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oxford Lane is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oxford Lane's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oxford Lane Short Properties
Oxford Lane's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oxford Lane's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oxford Lane Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oxford Lane's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oxford Lane's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 209.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43 M |
Check out Oxford Lane Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oxford Lane. If investors know Oxford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oxford Lane listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | Dividend Share 0.99 | Earnings Share 0.871 | Revenue Per Share 1.058 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.345 |
The market value of Oxford Lane Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oxford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oxford Lane's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oxford Lane's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oxford Lane's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oxford Lane's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oxford Lane's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oxford Lane is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oxford Lane's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.