Plby Group Stock Price Prediction
| PLBY Stock | USD 1.24 0.02 1.64% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.11) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 0.9 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.13) |
Using Plby hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plby Group from the perspective of Plby response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Plby to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Plby because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Plby after-hype prediction price | USD 1.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Plby |
Plby After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Plby at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plby or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plby, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Plby Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Plby's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plby's historical news coverage. Plby's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 9.11, respectively. We have considered Plby's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Plby is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plby Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Plby Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plby is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plby backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plby, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.59 | 8.02 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.24 | 1.15 | 7.26 |
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Plby Hype Timeline
Plby Group is at this time traded for 1.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Plby is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -7.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.59%. The volatility of related hype on Plby is about 11457.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.35. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.31. Plby Group recorded a loss per share of 2.1. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Plby Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Plby Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Plby's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plby's future price movements. Getting to know how Plby's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plby may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKAT | Takung Art Co | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.38 | (13.16) | 43.88 | |
| PCT | Purecycle Technologies Holdings | (0.27) | 10 per month | 3.45 | 0.15 | 13.87 | (6.96) | 51.40 | |
| DLPN | Dolphin Entertainment | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.45 | (6.06) | 21.51 | |
| HOFV | Hall of Fame | 0.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.61 | (9.16) | 42.21 | |
| FNKO | Funko Inc | 0.57 | 8 per month | 3.20 | (0.02) | 4.69 | (5.27) | 18.66 |
Plby Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Plby price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plby using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plby charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Plby Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Plby stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Plby Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Plby based on analysis of Plby hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Plby's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Plby's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.58 | 9.51 | 3.78 | 7.15 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 126.74 | 93.16 | 86.62 | 66.05 |
Story Coverage note for Plby
The number of cover stories for Plby depends on current market conditions and Plby's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Plby is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Plby's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Plby Short Properties
Plby's future price predictability will typically decrease when Plby's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Plby Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Plby's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plby's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.1 M |
Additional Tools for Plby Stock Analysis
When running Plby's price analysis, check to measure Plby's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plby is operating at the current time. Most of Plby's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plby's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plby's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plby to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.