Pennant Group Stock Price Prediction
| PNTG Stock | USD 27.51 0.83 3.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.365 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.936 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.078 | Wall Street Target Price 36 |
Using Pennant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pennant Group from the perspective of Pennant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pennant using Pennant's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pennant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pennant's stock price.
Pennant Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Pennant's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pennant Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pennant's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pennant stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pennant's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pennant to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pennant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pennant after-hype prediction price | USD 27.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pennant contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pennant Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0631% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Pennant trading at USD 27.51, that is roughly USD 0.0174 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pennant's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pennant Group options at the current volatility level of 1.01%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Pennant |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pennant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pennant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pennant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pennant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pennant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pennant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pennant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pennant's historical news coverage. Pennant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.42 and 29.56, respectively. We have considered Pennant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pennant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pennant Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pennant Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pennant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pennant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pennant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.10 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.51 | 27.49 | 0.76 |
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Pennant Hype Timeline
Pennant Group is at this time traded for 27.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Pennant is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.76%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Pennant is about 428.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.38. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. Pennant Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Pennant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pennant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pennant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pennant's future price movements. Getting to know how Pennant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pennant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EHC | Encompass Health Corp | (0.08) | 13 per month | 1.14 | (0.05) | 1.66 | (1.93) | 10.30 | |
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | (2.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.60 | (3.00) | 19.21 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | (0.06) | 11 per month | 1.97 | 0.05 | 3.61 | (3.08) | 16.75 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | 1.10 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.76 | (3.15) | 9.65 | |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners | (0.50) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.58 | (5.92) | 17.45 | |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | (2.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.32 | (1.84) | 10.08 | |
| HCSG | Healthcare Services Group | 0.31 | 6 per month | 1.91 | 0.02 | 2.63 | (2.96) | 8.91 | |
| EHAB | Enhabit | (0.31) | 8 per month | 1.70 | 0.09 | 4.08 | (3.25) | 17.54 | |
| INNV | InnovAge Holding Corp | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.64 | (5.51) | 22.97 | |
| NHC | National HealthCare | (0.69) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.00 | (3.27) | 13.46 | |
| CCM | Concord Medical Services | (0.48) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 10.65 | (9.82) | 50.12 | |
| MODV | ModivCare | (0.86) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.43 | (11.70) | 60.89 |
Pennant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pennant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pennant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pennant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pennant Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pennant stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pennant Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pennant based on analysis of Pennant hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pennant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pennant's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0113 | 0.0101 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.88 | 0.83 |
Story Coverage note for Pennant
The number of cover stories for Pennant depends on current market conditions and Pennant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pennant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pennant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pennant Short Properties
Pennant's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pennant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pennant Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pennant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pennant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Pennant Stock analysis
When running Pennant's price analysis, check to measure Pennant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pennant is operating at the current time. Most of Pennant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pennant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pennant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pennant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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