Priority Technology Holdings Stock Price Prediction

PRTH Stock  USD 8.56  0.42  4.68%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Priority Technology's the stock price is under 61 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 21st of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Priority, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Priority Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Priority Technology Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Priority Technology's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.03
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.06)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.58
Wall Street Target Price
10.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.01
Using Priority Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Priority Technology Holdings from the perspective of Priority Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Priority Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Priority because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Priority Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Priority Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Priority Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.857.0612.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.869.0714.28
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.816.387.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.110.110.11
Details

Priority Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Priority Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Priority Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Priority Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Priority Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Priority Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Priority Technology's historical news coverage. Priority Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.15 and 13.57, respectively. We have considered Priority Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.56
8.36
After-hype Price
13.57
Upside
Priority Technology is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Priority Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Priority Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Priority Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Priority Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Priority Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.93 
5.21
  0.20 
  0.27 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.56
8.36
2.34 
2,481  
Notes

Priority Technology Hype Timeline

Priority Technology is at this time traded for 8.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.27. Priority is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.34%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.93%. The volatility of related hype on Priority Technology is about 1784.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.83. About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.42. Priority Technology had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Priority Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Priority Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Priority Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Priority Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Priority Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Priority Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LSAKLesaka Technologies(0.08)10 per month 2.62  0.02  4.74 (4.21) 18.75 
CSGSCSG Systems International 1.37 10 per month 0.95  0.08  2.65 (1.83) 10.94 
OSPNOneSpan(0.69)7 per month 2.17  0.04  3.99 (3.60) 18.14 
SANGSangoma Technologies Corp 0.1 9 per month 2.30  0.08  4.95 (3.85) 21.17 
NTCTNetScout Systems 0.14 9 per month 1.72  0  3.23 (2.84) 10.35 
CCSIConsensus Cloud Solutions 1.73 7 per month 2.37  0.06  6.28 (3.62) 20.68 
SCWXSecureworks Corp 0.03 9 per month 2.76  0.05  7.68 (5.68) 29.19 
EVTCEvertec 0.70 9 per month 1.46  0.01  2.24 (2.30) 7.50 
RPAYRepay Holdings Corp 0.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.11 (3.56) 15.69 
RDWRRadware(0.49)8 per month 1.50 (0.02) 3.33 (2.51) 10.31 

Priority Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Priority price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Priority using various technical indicators. When you analyze Priority charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Priority Technology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Priority Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Priority Technology Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Priority Technology based on analysis of Priority Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Priority Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Priority Technology's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02780.08860.15
Price To Sales Ratio0.620.370.45

Story Coverage note for Priority Technology

The number of cover stories for Priority Technology depends on current market conditions and Priority Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Priority Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Priority Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Priority Technology Short Properties

Priority Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Priority Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Priority Technology Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Priority Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Priority Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments39.6 M

Complementary Tools for Priority Stock analysis

When running Priority Technology's price analysis, check to measure Priority Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Priority Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Priority Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Priority Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Priority Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Priority Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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