PUMA SE (Germany) Price Prediction

PUMA Stock  EUR 4.50  0.02  0.45%   
The value of RSI of PUMA SE's share price is above 70 as of 22nd of November 2024 indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling PUMA, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PUMA SE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PUMA SE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PUMA SE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PUMA SE UNSPADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PUMA SE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PUMA SE UNSPADR from the perspective of PUMA SE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PUMA SE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PUMA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PUMA SE after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 4.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out PUMA SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.313.575.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.204.456.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.294.034.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PUMA SE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PUMA SE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PUMA SE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PUMA SE UNSPADR.

PUMA SE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PUMA SE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PUMA SE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PUMA SE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PUMA SE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PUMA SE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PUMA SE's historical news coverage. PUMA SE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.24 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered PUMA SE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.50
4.50
After-hype Price
6.76
Upside
PUMA SE is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PUMA SE UNSPADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

PUMA SE Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PUMA SE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PUMA SE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PUMA SE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38 
2.26
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.50
4.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

PUMA SE Hype Timeline

PUMA SE UNSPADR is at this time traded for 4.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PUMA is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on PUMA SE is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.50. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 100.39. PUMA SE UNSPADR last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out PUMA SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

PUMA SE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PUMA SE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PUMA SE's future price movements. Getting to know how PUMA SE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PUMA SE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

PUMA SE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PUMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PUMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze PUMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PUMA SE Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PUMA SE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PUMA SE UNSPADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PUMA SE based on analysis of PUMA SE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PUMA SE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PUMA SE's related companies.

Story Coverage note for PUMA SE

The number of cover stories for PUMA SE depends on current market conditions and PUMA SE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PUMA SE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PUMA SE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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When running PUMA SE's price analysis, check to measure PUMA SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PUMA SE is operating at the current time. Most of PUMA SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PUMA SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PUMA SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PUMA SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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