Qantas Airways Limited Stock Price Prediction
| QUBSF Stock | USD 5.40 0.15 2.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
96
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Qantas Airways hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qantas Airways Limited from the perspective of Qantas Airways response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Qantas Airways to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Qantas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Qantas Airways after-hype prediction price | USD 5.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Qantas |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qantas Airways' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Qantas Airways After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Qantas Airways at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Qantas Airways or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Qantas Airways, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Qantas Airways Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Qantas Airways' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Qantas Airways' historical news coverage. Qantas Airways' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.11 and 7.69, respectively. We have considered Qantas Airways' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Qantas Airways is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Qantas Airways is based on 3 months time horizon.
Qantas Airways Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Qantas Airways is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qantas Airways backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qantas Airways, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.40 | 5.40 | 0.00 |
|
Qantas Airways Hype Timeline
Qantas Airways is at this time traded for 5.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Qantas is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Qantas Airways is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.40. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.41. Qantas Airways last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2020. The entity had 939:1000 split on the 27th of October 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Qantas Airways Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Qantas Airways Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Qantas Airways' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Qantas Airways' future price movements. Getting to know how Qantas Airways' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Qantas Airways may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FNNNF | Finnair Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.58 | |
| EJTTF | easyJet plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.91 | |
| NRSAF | Norse Atlantic ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.03 | 0.06 | 13.33 | (10.00) | 31.31 | |
| ANZFF | Air New Zealand | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.06 | (8.33) | 19.05 | |
| AICAF | Air China Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.51 | |
| JAPSY | Japan Airlines Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.07 | 2.95 | (1.70) | 6.06 | |
| CPCAY | Cathay Pacific Airways | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.1 | 3.34 | (1.72) | 10.40 | |
| SINGF | Singapore Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | (0.03) | 4.59 | (4.72) | 15.04 | |
| SINGY | Singapore Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | (0.08) | 1.59 | (1.73) | 6.01 | |
| CEBUF | Cebu Air | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AFRAF | Air France KLM SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.47 | |
| AIABF | AirAsia Group Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.65 | (0.01) | 10.53 | (9.09) | 27.62 |
Qantas Airways Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Qantas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qantas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qantas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Qantas Airways Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Qantas Airways stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Qantas Airways Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Qantas Airways based on analysis of Qantas Airways hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Qantas Airways's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Qantas Airways's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Qantas Airways
The number of cover stories for Qantas Airways depends on current market conditions and Qantas Airways' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Qantas Airways is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Qantas Airways' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Qantas Airways Short Properties
Qantas Airways' future price predictability will typically decrease when Qantas Airways' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Qantas Airways Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Qantas Airways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qantas Airways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Qantas Pink Sheet analysis
When running Qantas Airways' price analysis, check to measure Qantas Airways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qantas Airways is operating at the current time. Most of Qantas Airways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qantas Airways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qantas Airways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qantas Airways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum |