Royal Caribbean (Germany) Price Prediction

RC8 Stock  EUR 223.70  3.45  1.52%   
The value of RSI of Royal Caribbean's share price is above 70 as of 22nd of November 2024 indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Royal, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Royal Caribbean's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Royal Caribbean and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Royal Caribbean's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Royal Caribbean Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Royal Caribbean hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Royal Caribbean Group from the perspective of Royal Caribbean response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Royal Caribbean to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Royal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Royal Caribbean after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 223.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Royal Caribbean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
201.33239.47241.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
224.48226.69228.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
172.89203.38233.86
Details

Royal Caribbean After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Royal Caribbean at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Royal Caribbean or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Royal Caribbean, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Royal Caribbean Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Royal Caribbean's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Royal Caribbean's historical news coverage. Royal Caribbean's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 221.49 and 225.91, respectively. We have considered Royal Caribbean's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
223.70
221.49
Downside
223.70
After-hype Price
225.91
Upside
Royal Caribbean is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Royal Caribbean Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Royal Caribbean Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Royal Caribbean is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Royal Caribbean backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Royal Caribbean, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.70 
2.21
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
223.70
223.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Royal Caribbean Hype Timeline

Royal Caribbean Group is at this time traded for 223.70on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Royal is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on Royal Caribbean is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 223.70. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Royal Caribbean was at this time reported as 11.24. The company recorded a loss per share of 8.05. Royal Caribbean Group last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Royal Caribbean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Royal Caribbean Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Royal Caribbean's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Royal Caribbean's future price movements. Getting to know how Royal Caribbean's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Royal Caribbean may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Royal Caribbean Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Royal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Royal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Royal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Royal Caribbean Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Royal Caribbean stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Royal Caribbean Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Royal Caribbean based on analysis of Royal Caribbean hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Royal Caribbean's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Royal Caribbean's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Royal Caribbean

The number of cover stories for Royal Caribbean depends on current market conditions and Royal Caribbean's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Royal Caribbean is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Royal Caribbean's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Royal Caribbean Short Properties

Royal Caribbean's future price predictability will typically decrease when Royal Caribbean's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Royal Caribbean Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Royal Caribbean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Caribbean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255.2 M

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