Regal Investment (Australia) Price Prediction

RF1 Stock   3.53  0.05  1.44%   
The value of relative strength index of Regal Investment's the stock price is slightly above 68 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Regal, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Regal Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Regal Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Regal Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regal Investment from the perspective of Regal Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Regal Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Regal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Regal Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 3.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Regal Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.193.454.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.193.454.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.493.593.70
Details

Regal Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Regal Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Regal Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Regal Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Regal Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Regal Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Regal Investment's historical news coverage. Regal Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.22 and 4.74, respectively. We have considered Regal Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.53
3.48
After-hype Price
4.74
Upside
Regal Investment is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Regal Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Regal Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Regal Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Regal Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Regal Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.27
 0.00  
  0.01 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.53
3.48
0.00 
12,700  
Notes

Regal Investment Hype Timeline

Regal Investment is at this time traded for 3.53on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Regal is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Regal Investment is about 2419.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.54. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Regal Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Regal Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Regal Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Regal Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Regal Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Regal Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KKCKkr Credit Income 0.01 2 per month 0.50 (0.12) 0.89 (0.87) 2.63 
CKFCollins Foods(0.01)2 per month 1.09  0.03  2.28 (1.95) 7.65 
QBEQbe Insurance Group 0.29 1 per month 0.83  0.17  2.49 (1.62) 6.46 
FNXFinexia Financial Group 0.02 2 per month 2.40  0.05  7.14 (6.67) 31.14 
BFLBSP Financial Group 0.11 1 per month 1.39 (0.04) 3.39 (3.37) 9.02 
NABPHNational Australia Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.14 (0.35) 0.46 (0.36) 1.08 
DBFDuxton Broadacre Farms 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.70 (3.42) 12.95 
MBXMy Foodie Box 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Regal Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Regal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Regal Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Regal Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Regal Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Regal Investment based on analysis of Regal Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Regal Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Regal Investment's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Regal Investment

The number of cover stories for Regal Investment depends on current market conditions and Regal Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Regal Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Regal Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Regal Investment Short Properties

Regal Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Regal Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Regal Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Regal Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regal Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding204 M
Dividends Paid55.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27 K

Additional Tools for Regal Stock Analysis

When running Regal Investment's price analysis, check to measure Regal Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regal Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Regal Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regal Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regal Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regal Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.