Rpm International Stock Price Patterns
| RPM Stock | USD 114.46 2.49 2.13% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2702 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9965 | Wall Street Target Price 127.3571 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.4119 |
Using RPM International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RPM International from the perspective of RPM International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RPM International using RPM International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RPM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RPM International's stock price.
RPM International Short Interest
An investor who is long RPM International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about RPM International and may potentially protect profits, hedge RPM International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 113.2192 | Short Percent 0.0247 | Short Ratio 1.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 108.9406 |
RPM International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to RPM International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RPM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RPM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RPM International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RPM International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RPM International.
RPM International Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
RPM International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RPM International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RPM International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RPM International stock will not fluctuate a lot when RPM International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RPM International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RPM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
RPM International after-hype prediction price | USD 117.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current RPM contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that RPM International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With RPM International trading at USD 114.46, that is roughly USD 0.0215 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating RPM International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring RPM International options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. RPM International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RPM International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RPM International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RPM International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RPM International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RPM International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RPM International's historical news coverage. RPM International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 116.06 and 119.16, respectively. We have considered RPM International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RPM International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RPM International is based on 3 months time horizon.
RPM International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RPM International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RPM International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RPM International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.57 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
114.46 | 117.61 | 0.56 |
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RPM International Hype Timeline
On the 19th of February RPM International is traded for 114.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. RPM is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 117.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 47.72%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on RPM International is about 87.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 114.75. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.37 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 690.33 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.12 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.RPM International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RPM International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RPM International's future price movements. Getting to know how RPM International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RPM International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SQM | Sociedad Quimica y | 2.78 | 10 per month | 2.74 | 0.16 | 6.23 | (4.33) | 15.98 | |
| LYB | LyondellBasell Industries NV | 1.92 | 8 per month | 2.13 | 0.15 | 6.08 | (3.84) | 12.48 | |
| DD | Dupont De Nemours | 1.10 | 7 per month | 1.38 | 0.18 | 3.82 | (2.18) | 10.08 | |
| RS | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.84 | 0.19 | 3.17 | (1.55) | 7.14 | |
| CF | CF Industries Holdings | 4.28 | 8 per month | 1.85 | 0.09 | 3.53 | (2.97) | 8.59 | |
| CX | Cemex SAB de | 0.1 | 11 per month | 1.90 | 0.13 | 3.44 | (3.18) | 11.60 | |
| ALB | Albemarle Corp | 3.16 | 7 per month | 3.54 | 0.19 | 5.08 | (6.18) | 17.63 | |
| AGI | Alamos Gold | 1.03 | 10 per month | 3.80 | 0.11 | 6.22 | (6.26) | 18.61 | |
| PAAS | Pan American Silver | 1.71 | 9 per month | 3.70 | 0.16 | 7.23 | (6.58) | 24.89 |
RPM International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RPM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RPM using various technical indicators. When you analyze RPM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About RPM International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of RPM International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RPM International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RPM International based on analysis of RPM International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RPM International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RPM International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0162 | 0.0176 | 0.0202 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.95 | 1.97 | 1.77 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in RPM Stock, please use our How to Invest in RPM International guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Will Specialty Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could RPM diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RPM International. Anticipated expansion of RPM directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every RPM International data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 2.07 | Earnings Share 5.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 |
The market value of RPM International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RPM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RPM International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RPM International's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because RPM International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RPM International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between RPM International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding RPM International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, RPM International's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.