Rexel SA (France) Price Patterns

RXL Stock  EUR 36.27  1.40  3.72%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Rexel SA's stock price is about 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rexel, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rexel SA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rexel SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rexel SA's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.5046
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.7898
Wall Street Target Price
36
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Using Rexel SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rexel SA from the perspective of Rexel SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rexel SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rexel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rexel SA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 36.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Rexel SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.6441.5842.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.511.330.58
Details

Rexel SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rexel SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rexel SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rexel SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rexel SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rexel SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rexel SA's historical news coverage. Rexel SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.04 and 37.62, respectively. We have considered Rexel SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.27
36.33
After-hype Price
37.62
Upside
Rexel SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rexel SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rexel SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rexel SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rexel SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rexel SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.29
  0.06 
  0.18 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.27
36.33
0.17 
516.00  
Notes

Rexel SA Hype Timeline

Rexel SA is at this time traded for 36.27on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Rexel is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Rexel SA is about 170.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.09. The company reported the revenue of 19.41 B. Net Income was 588.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.87 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Rexel SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Rexel SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rexel SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rexel SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Rexel SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rexel SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALINNInnelec Multimedia(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.47 (3.77) 9.99 
EXENSEXOSENS PROM(0.75)2 per month 2.31  0.1  5.48 (3.62) 13.05 
ALLGOLargo SAS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 3.49 (4.17) 12.98 
ALLDLGroupe LDLC SA 0.00 1 per month 3.50  0.02  7.24 (5.65) 27.37 
ATEAlten SA(0.75)6 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.63 (3.75) 24.79 
SOPSopra Steria Group(3.50)2 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.29 (4.18) 14.21 
WAVEWavestone SA(0.80)4 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.20 (4.53) 20.92 
NRONeurones(2.75)2 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.56 (2.61) 10.09 
PLNWPlanisware SAS 0.04 1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.31 (4.66) 13.95 
LSSLectra SA 0.95 5 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.40 (4.33) 9.77 

Rexel SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rexel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rexel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rexel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rexel SA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rexel SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rexel SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rexel SA based on analysis of Rexel SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rexel SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rexel SA's related companies.
 2023 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04860.04920.0506
Price To Sales Ratio0.390.380.24

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Complementary Tools for Rexel Stock analysis

When running Rexel SA's price analysis, check to measure Rexel SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rexel SA is operating at the current time. Most of Rexel SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rexel SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rexel SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rexel SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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