Boston Beer Stock Price Prediction
| SAM Stock | USD 250.17 2.06 0.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
25
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.93) | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.6041 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.538 | Wall Street Target Price 297.2308 |
Using Boston Beer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boston Beer from the perspective of Boston Beer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boston Beer using Boston Beer's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boston using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boston Beer's stock price.
Boston Beer Short Interest
An investor who is long Boston Beer may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Boston Beer and may potentially protect profits, hedge Boston Beer with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 286.565 | Short Percent 0.0589 | Short Ratio 3.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 349.1 K | 50 Day MA 294.7788 |
Boston Beer Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Boston Beer's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boston. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boston can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Boston Beer. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Boston Beer's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Boston Beer.
Boston Beer Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Boston Beer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boston Beer stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boston Beer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boston Beer stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boston Beer's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Boston Beer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Boston because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Boston Beer after-hype prediction price | USD 248.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Boston contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Boston Beer will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Boston Beer trading at USD 250.17, that is roughly USD 0.1 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Boston Beer's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Boston Beer options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Boston |
Boston Beer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boston Beer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boston Beer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boston Beer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boston Beer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boston Beer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boston Beer's historical news coverage. Boston Beer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 246.60 and 275.19, respectively. We have considered Boston Beer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boston Beer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boston Beer is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boston Beer Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boston Beer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boston Beer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boston Beer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.69 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
250.17 | 248.30 | 0.75 |
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Boston Beer Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Boston Beer is traded for 250.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Boston is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 248.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 21.64%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.75%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Boston Beer is about 10140.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 250.17. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Boston Beer was at this time reported as 89.17. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.71. Boston Beer recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.81. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:4 split on the 14th of December 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Boston Beer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Boston Beer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boston Beer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boston Beer's future price movements. Getting to know how Boston Beer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boston Beer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BUD | Anheuser Busch Inbev | (0.22) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.42 | (2.65) | 8.01 | |
| TAP-A | Molson Coors Beverage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | (0.03) | 2.07 | (2.67) | 7.89 | |
| HEINY | Heineken NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.45 | (2.01) | 6.23 | |
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.27 | (3.28) | 9.81 | |
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.25 | (0.03) | 1.76 | (1.94) | 6.40 | |
| TAP | Molson Coors Brewing | (0.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.61 | (2.41) | 10.66 | |
| FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano | 0.43 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.72 | (2.41) | 9.08 | |
| KNBWY | Kirin Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CABGY | Carlsberg AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.55 | (2.72) | 7.09 | |
| BDWBY | Budweiser Brewing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.12 | (6.37) | 18.65 | |
| BUDFF | Anheuser Busch InBev SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.54 | (2.84) | 9.18 | |
| HINKF | Heineken NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.08 | (4.20) | 8.59 |
Boston Beer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Boston Beer Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Boston Beer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Boston Beer, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boston Beer based on analysis of Boston Beer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Boston Beer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Boston Beer's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0363 | 0.0431 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.75 | 1.82 |
Story Coverage note for Boston Beer
The number of cover stories for Boston Beer depends on current market conditions and Boston Beer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boston Beer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boston Beer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boston Beer Short Properties
Boston Beer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boston Beer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boston Beer often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boston Beer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Beer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 298.5 M |
Check out Boston Beer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Boston Stock, please use our How to Invest in Boston Beer guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Beverages space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boston Beer. If investors know Boston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boston Beer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Earnings Share 6.81 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Boston Beer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boston Beer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boston Beer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boston Beer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boston Beer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boston Beer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boston Beer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boston Beer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.