Senvest Capital Stock Price Prediction

SEC Stock  CAD 357.50  17.50  4.67%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Senvest Capital's stock price is about 63. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Senvest, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Senvest Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Senvest Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Senvest Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.26
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.567
Using Senvest Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Senvest Capital from the perspective of Senvest Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Senvest Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Senvest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Senvest Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 357.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Senvest Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
331.23332.47393.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
368.73369.98371.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
362.61371.94381.27
Details

Senvest Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Senvest Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Senvest Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Senvest Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Senvest Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Senvest Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Senvest Capital's historical news coverage. Senvest Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 356.25 and 358.75, respectively. We have considered Senvest Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
357.50
356.25
Downside
357.50
After-hype Price
358.75
Upside
Senvest Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Senvest Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Senvest Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Senvest Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Senvest Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Senvest Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.26
 0.00  
  0.06 
7 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
357.50
357.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Senvest Capital Hype Timeline

Senvest Capital is at this time traded for 357.50on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Senvest is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Senvest Capital is about 149.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 357.44. About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Senvest Capital recorded earning per share (EPS) of 71.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of July 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Senvest Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Senvest Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Senvest Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Senvest Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Senvest Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Senvest Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CGICanadian General Investments 0.47 7 per month 0.40  0.1  1.52 (0.96) 3.60 
AGF-BAGF Management Limited(0.02)8 per month 0.78  0.24  2.72 (1.87) 7.88 
DFNDividend 15 Split 0.03 6 per month 0.50  0.24  1.47 (0.63) 4.59 
CVGClairvest Group(0.36)5 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.41 (1.39) 6.93 
FTNFinancial 15 Split 0.04 5 per month 0.47  0.15  1.36 (1.34) 6.18 
BKCanadian Banc Corp(7.51)5 per month 0.24  0.16  1.65 (1.11) 8.91 
ECNECN Capital Corp(0.01)6 per month 0.90 (0.01) 1.11 (1.46) 13.31 
FSZFiera Capital 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.33 (1.62) 6.97 
MKPMCAN Mortgage(0.28)5 per month 0.78  0.04  1.54 (1.51) 4.22 

Senvest Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Senvest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Senvest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Senvest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Senvest Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Senvest Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Senvest Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Senvest Capital based on analysis of Senvest Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Senvest Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Senvest Capital's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.530.72
Dividend Yield0.0043360.004119

Pair Trading with Senvest Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Senvest Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Senvest Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Senvest Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Senvest Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Senvest Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Senvest Capital to buy it.
The correlation of Senvest Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Senvest Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Senvest Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Senvest Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Senvest Stock

Senvest Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Senvest Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Senvest with respect to the benefits of owning Senvest Capital security.