Companhia Siderurgica Nacional Stock Price Prediction
| SID Stock | USD 1.96 0.04 2.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 33.206 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2328 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2338 | Wall Street Target Price 2.3333 |
Using Companhia Siderurgica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional from the perspective of Companhia Siderurgica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Companhia Siderurgica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Companhia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Companhia Siderurgica after-hype prediction price | USD 1.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Companhia |
Companhia Siderurgica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Companhia Siderurgica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Companhia Siderurgica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Companhia Siderurgica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Companhia Siderurgica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Companhia Siderurgica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Companhia Siderurgica's historical news coverage. Companhia Siderurgica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 5.00, respectively. We have considered Companhia Siderurgica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Companhia Siderurgica is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Companhia Siderurgica is based on 3 months time horizon.
Companhia Siderurgica Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Companhia Siderurgica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Companhia Siderurgica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Companhia Siderurgica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 3.04 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.96 | 1.96 | 0.00 |
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Companhia Siderurgica Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Companhia Siderurgica is traded for 1.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Companhia is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Companhia Siderurgica is about 986.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.91. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.12. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Companhia Siderurgica recorded a loss per share of 0.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of April 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Companhia Siderurgica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Companhia Siderurgica Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Companhia Siderurgica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Companhia Siderurgica's future price movements. Getting to know how Companhia Siderurgica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Companhia Siderurgica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TX | Ternium SA ADR | (0.25) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.94 | (2.97) | 8.77 | |
| MT | ArcelorMittal SA ADR | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.94 | 0.03 | 3.83 | (3.01) | 9.08 | |
| CMC | Commercial Metals | (1.86) | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.04 | 4.50 | (2.80) | 16.53 | |
| SCHN | SCHNITZER STEEL INDUSTRIES | (0.91) | 3 per month | 2.05 | 0 | 3.12 | (3.33) | 13.80 | |
| OUTKY | Outokumpu Oyj ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.12 | (1.76) | 9.38 | |
| TMST | TMST Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.11 | 4.81 | (2.47) | 13.11 | |
| ZEUS | Olympic Steel | (0.55) | 7 per month | 2.59 | (0.03) | 4.03 | (4.04) | 14.90 | |
| USAP | Universal Stainless Alloy | (0.16) | 8 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 5.18 | (4.35) | 15.05 | |
| PKX | POSCO Holdings | 0.35 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.63 | (4.94) | 10.53 | |
| USNZY | Usinas Siderurgicas de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.44 | (7.14) | 25.24 | |
| GGB | Gerdau SA ADR | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.87 | (0.03) | 3.44 | (3.68) | 16.26 |
Companhia Siderurgica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Companhia Siderurgica Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Companhia Siderurgica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Companhia Siderurgica Nacional, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Companhia Siderurgica based on analysis of Companhia Siderurgica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Companhia Siderurgica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Companhia Siderurgica's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0957 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.11 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.72 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 0.54 |
Story Coverage note for Companhia Siderurgica
The number of cover stories for Companhia Siderurgica depends on current market conditions and Companhia Siderurgica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Companhia Siderurgica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Companhia Siderurgica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Companhia Siderurgica Short Properties
Companhia Siderurgica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Companhia Siderurgica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Companhia Siderurgica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Siderurgica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.5 B |
Complementary Tools for Companhia Stock analysis
When running Companhia Siderurgica's price analysis, check to measure Companhia Siderurgica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia Siderurgica is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia Siderurgica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia Siderurgica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia Siderurgica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia Siderurgica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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