Somerset Trust Holding Stock Price Prediction
| SOME Stock | USD 44.90 0.10 0.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
84
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Somerset Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Somerset Trust Holding from the perspective of Somerset Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Somerset Trust to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Somerset because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Somerset Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 44.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Somerset |
Somerset Trust After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Somerset Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Somerset Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Somerset Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Somerset Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Somerset Trust's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Somerset Trust's historical news coverage. Somerset Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.52 and 46.28, respectively. We have considered Somerset Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Somerset Trust is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Somerset Trust Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Somerset Trust Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Somerset Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Somerset Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Somerset Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
44.90 | 44.90 | 0.00 |
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Somerset Trust Hype Timeline
Somerset Trust Holding is at this time traded for 44.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Somerset is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Somerset Trust is about 13800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.90. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.67. Somerset Trust Holding last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2022. The entity had 4:1 split on the 8th of September 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Somerset Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Somerset Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Somerset Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Somerset Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Somerset Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Somerset Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IHTA | Invesco High Income | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.19) | 0.68 | (0.28) | 2.03 | |
| MHN | Blackrock Muniholdings Ny | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.62 | (0.21) | 0.75 | (1.03) | 2.69 | |
| CXH | MFS Investment Grade | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.42 | (0.25) | 0.62 | (0.74) | 2.10 | |
| FMN | Federated Premier Municipal | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.06 | (1.49) | 5.09 |
Somerset Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Somerset price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Somerset using various technical indicators. When you analyze Somerset charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Somerset Trust Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Somerset Trust stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Somerset Trust Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Somerset Trust based on analysis of Somerset Trust hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Somerset Trust's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Somerset Trust's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Somerset Trust
The number of cover stories for Somerset Trust depends on current market conditions and Somerset Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Somerset Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Somerset Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Somerset Pink Sheet analysis
When running Somerset Trust's price analysis, check to measure Somerset Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Somerset Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Somerset Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Somerset Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Somerset Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Somerset Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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