Sprout Social Stock Price Prediction
| SPT Stock | USD 32.89 0.79 2.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.16 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.467 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6984 | Wall Street Target Price 36.7692 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.12 |
Using Sprout Social hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprout Social from the perspective of Sprout Social response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Sprout Social Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sprout Social's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sprout. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sprout can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sprout Social. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sprout Social's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sprout Social.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sprout Social to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sprout because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sprout Social after-hype prediction price | USD 32.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sprout Social After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sprout Social at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprout Social or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprout Social, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sprout Social Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sprout Social's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprout Social's historical news coverage. Sprout Social's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.43 and 35.71, respectively. We have considered Sprout Social's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sprout Social is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprout Social is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sprout Social Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprout Social is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprout Social backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprout Social, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 3.14 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.89 | 32.57 | 0.97 |
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Sprout Social Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Sprout Social is traded for 32.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Sprout is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 135.93%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.97%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Sprout Social is about 293.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.74. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.47. Sprout Social recorded a loss per share of 1.2. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Sprout Social Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sprout Social Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sprout Social's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprout Social's future price movements. Getting to know how Sprout Social's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprout Social may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PGNY | Progyny | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.22 | (3.12) | 38.70 | |
| DAVA | Endava | 1.97 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.11 | (4.81) | 14.12 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (0.39) | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.24 | 5.06 | (2.22) | 14.35 | |
| SITM | Sitime | (10.31) | 8 per month | 2.53 | 0.15 | 6.98 | (4.87) | 23.86 | |
| WK | Workiva | 3.32 | 10 per month | 1.45 | 0.10 | 3.56 | (2.83) | 8.56 |
Sprout Social Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sprout price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprout using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprout charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Sprout Social Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sprout Social stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sprout Social, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sprout Social based on analysis of Sprout Social hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sprout Social's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sprout Social's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 16.2 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 10.47 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 108.55 | 124.21 | 111.78 | 70.14 |
Story Coverage note for Sprout Social
The number of cover stories for Sprout Social depends on current market conditions and Sprout Social's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprout Social is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprout Social's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sprout Social Short Properties
Sprout Social's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprout Social's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprout Social often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprout Social's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprout Social's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.4 M |
Additional Tools for Sprout Stock Analysis
When running Sprout Social's price analysis, check to measure Sprout Social's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sprout Social is operating at the current time. Most of Sprout Social's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sprout Social's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sprout Social's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sprout Social to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.