State Street Spdr Etf Price Prediction
| SPYM Etf | 81.22 0.24 0.29% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using State Street hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of State Street SPDR from the perspective of State Street response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards State Street using State Street's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards State using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of State Street's stock price.
State Street Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
State Street's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of State Street SPDR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if State Street's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that State Street stock will not fluctuate a lot when State Street's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in State Street to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying State because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
State Street after-hype prediction price | USD 81.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current State contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that State Street SPDR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With State Street trading at USD 81.22, that is roughly USD 0.0198 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating State Street's daily price movement you should consider acquiring State Street SPDR options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out State Street Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of State Street's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
State Street After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of State Street at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in State Street or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of State Street, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
State Street Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting State Street's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on State Street's historical news coverage. State Street's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.45 and 82.01, respectively. We have considered State Street's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
State Street is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of State Street SPDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
State Street Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as State Street is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading State Street backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with State Street, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.78 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
81.22 | 81.23 | 0.01 |
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State Street Hype Timeline
State Street SPDR is at this time traded for 81.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. State is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 81.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on State Street is about 9750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.22. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out State Street Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.State Street Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to State Street's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict State Street's future price movements. Getting to know how State Street's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how State Street may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USVT | Lyrical Asset Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QQD | QQD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IFIX | DWS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TIPL | Direxion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CLNR | New York Life | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.85 | (2.43) | 16.15 | |
| NSPL | NSPL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MLTI | Credit Suisse | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRKY | Direxion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GLBY | GLBY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OCTD | Innovator Capital Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.06) | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
State Street Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine State price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for State using various technical indicators. When you analyze State charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About State Street Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of State Street stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as State Street SPDR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of State Street based on analysis of State Street hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to State Street's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to State Street's related companies.
Story Coverage note for State Street
The number of cover stories for State Street depends on current market conditions and State Street's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that State Street is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about State Street's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out State Street Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
The market value of State Street SPDR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of State that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of State Street's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is State Street's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because State Street's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect State Street's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between State Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if State Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, State Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.