Sumitomo Metal Mining Stock Price Prediction

STMNF Stock  USD 27.44  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sumitomo Metal's share price is above 70 as of 23rd of November 2024. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sumitomo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

76

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sumitomo Metal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sumitomo Metal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sumitomo Metal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sumitomo Metal Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sumitomo Metal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sumitomo Metal Mining from the perspective of Sumitomo Metal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sumitomo Metal to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sumitomo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sumitomo Metal after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sumitomo Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4523.0230.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.6027.1729.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.4427.4427.44
Details

Sumitomo Metal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sumitomo Metal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sumitomo Metal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Sumitomo Metal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sumitomo Metal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sumitomo Metal's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sumitomo Metal's historical news coverage. Sumitomo Metal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.87 and 30.01, respectively. We have considered Sumitomo Metal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.44
27.44
After-hype Price
30.01
Upside
Sumitomo Metal is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sumitomo Metal Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sumitomo Metal Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sumitomo Metal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sumitomo Metal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sumitomo Metal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.57
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.44
27.44
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sumitomo Metal Hype Timeline

Sumitomo Metal Mining is at this time traded for 27.44. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sumitomo is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sumitomo Metal is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.44. About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sumitomo Metal Mining recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The firm had 1:2 split on the 27th of September 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Sumitomo Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sumitomo Metal Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sumitomo Metal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sumitomo Metal's future price movements. Getting to know how Sumitomo Metal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sumitomo Metal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sumitomo Metal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sumitomo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sumitomo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sumitomo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sumitomo Metal Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sumitomo Metal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sumitomo Metal Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sumitomo Metal based on analysis of Sumitomo Metal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sumitomo Metal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sumitomo Metal's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sumitomo Metal

The number of cover stories for Sumitomo Metal depends on current market conditions and Sumitomo Metal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sumitomo Metal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sumitomo Metal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Sumitomo Metal Short Properties

Sumitomo Metal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sumitomo Metal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sumitomo Metal Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sumitomo Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sumitomo Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding274.8 M

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When running Sumitomo Metal's price analysis, check to measure Sumitomo Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sumitomo Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Sumitomo Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sumitomo Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sumitomo Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sumitomo Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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