Surgepays Stock Price Prediction

SURG Stock  USD 1.92  0.19  9.00%   
As of 28th of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Surgepays' share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Surgepays, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Surgepays' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Surgepays and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Surgepays' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Surgepays, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Surgepays' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.23)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.00)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.08)
Wall Street Target Price
6
Using Surgepays hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Surgepays from the perspective of Surgepays response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Surgepays to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Surgepays because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Surgepays after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Surgepays Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Surgepays Stock please use our How to Invest in Surgepays guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.234.6010.86
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.25-0.25-0.25
Details

Surgepays After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Surgepays at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Surgepays or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Surgepays, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Surgepays Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Surgepays' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Surgepays' historical news coverage. Surgepays' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 8.23, respectively. We have considered Surgepays' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.92
1.97
After-hype Price
8.23
Upside
Surgepays is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Surgepays is based on 3 months time horizon.

Surgepays Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Surgepays is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Surgepays backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Surgepays, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
6.21
  0.05 
  0.05 
8 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.92
1.97
2.60 
5,645  
Notes

Surgepays Hype Timeline

Surgepays is at this time traded for 1.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Surgepays is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 2.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Surgepays is about 5366.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.97. Surgepays currently holds 5.44 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.32, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Surgepays Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Surgepays Stock please use our How to Invest in Surgepays guide.

Surgepays Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Surgepays' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Surgepays' future price movements. Getting to know how Surgepays' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Surgepays may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IDAITrust Stamp 0.04 7 per month 6.29  0.11  9.09 (11.11) 47.05 
NOGNNogin Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.29) 6.30 (10.77) 29.19 
FRGTFreight Technologies(0.12)4 per month 0.00 (0.24) 12.73 (11.76) 41.50 
VSVersus Systems(0.26)8 per month 5.63  0.07  9.77 (8.50) 266.77 
AUUDAuddia Inc(0.02)4 per month 0.00 (0.13) 8.77 (8.20) 49.98 
IDBAIdex Biometrics ASA(0.10)5 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.74 (6.49) 17.01 
DSPViant Technology 1.20 9 per month 1.94  0.20  5.01 (3.64) 28.19 
LGIQLogiq Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 13.33 (19.23) 52.50 
MIXTMix Telemats 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.52 (3.34) 12.12 
MNTVMomentive Global(0.02)8 per month 0.00  0.14  0.43 (0.21) 20.63 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings 0.99 11 per month 1.28  0.14  2.80 (2.76) 18.70 
EXFYExpensify 0.04 8 per month 2.87  0.11  11.36 (4.19) 27.58 
MODNModel N(0.04)8 per month 0.29  0.03  1.01 (0.50) 10.58 
ENVEnvestnet(0.09)12 per month 0.09 (0.92) 0.22 (0.22) 0.68 

Surgepays Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Surgepays price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Surgepays using various technical indicators. When you analyze Surgepays charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Surgepays Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Surgepays stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Surgepays, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Surgepays based on analysis of Surgepays hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Surgepays's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Surgepays's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Graham Number8.840.338.037.63
Receivables Turnover15.7113.1714.3816.34

Story Coverage note for Surgepays

The number of cover stories for Surgepays depends on current market conditions and Surgepays' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Surgepays is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Surgepays' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Surgepays Short Properties

Surgepays' future price predictability will typically decrease when Surgepays' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Surgepays often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Surgepays' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Surgepays' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.6 M

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