Silvercorp Metals Stock Price Patterns

SVM Stock  CAD 13.71  2.63  16.10%   
As of today The relative strength momentum indicator of Silvercorp Metals' share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 84

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Silvercorp Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Silvercorp Metals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Silvercorp Metals' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.16
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.64
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.1867
Wall Street Target Price
19.4824
Using Silvercorp Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Silvercorp Metals from the perspective of Silvercorp Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Silvercorp Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Silvercorp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Silvercorp Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 13.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Silvercorp Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Silvercorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Silvercorp Metals guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1813.3117.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.9713.1017.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.050.220.22
Details

Silvercorp Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Silvercorp Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Silvercorp Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Silvercorp Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Silvercorp Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Silvercorp Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Silvercorp Metals' historical news coverage. Silvercorp Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.07 and 17.33, respectively. We have considered Silvercorp Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.71
13.20
After-hype Price
17.33
Upside
Silvercorp Metals is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Silvercorp Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Silvercorp Metals Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Silvercorp Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Silvercorp Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Silvercorp Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.85 
4.08
  0.59 
  0.63 
9 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.71
13.20
3.72 
591.30  
Notes

Silvercorp Metals Hype Timeline

Silvercorp Metals is at this time traded for 13.71on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.63. Silvercorp is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -3.72%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.85%. The volatility of related hype on Silvercorp Metals is about 546.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.34. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Silvercorp Metals was at this time reported as 4.45. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Silvercorp Metals had 3:1 split on the 29th of October 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Silvercorp Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Silvercorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Silvercorp Metals guide.

Silvercorp Metals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Silvercorp Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Silvercorp Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Silvercorp Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Silvercorp Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Silvercorp Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Silvercorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silvercorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silvercorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Silvercorp Metals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Silvercorp Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Silvercorp Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Silvercorp Metals based on analysis of Silvercorp Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Silvercorp Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Silvercorp Metals's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0072510.0062670.0072070.014
Price To Sales Ratio2.842.643.042.89

Pair Trading with Silvercorp Metals

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Silvercorp Metals position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Silvercorp Metals will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Silvercorp Stock

  0.99AG First Majestic SilverPairCorr
  0.92IE Ivanhoe EnergyPairCorr
  0.96ORE Orezone Gold CorpPairCorr
  0.74FDR Flinders ResourcesPairCorr
  0.89FDY Faraday Copper CorpPairCorr

Moving against Silvercorp Stock

  0.51BRK Berkshire Hathaway CDRPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Silvercorp Metals could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Silvercorp Metals when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Silvercorp Metals - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Silvercorp Metals to buy it.
The correlation of Silvercorp Metals is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Silvercorp Metals moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Silvercorp Metals moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Silvercorp Metals can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Silvercorp Metals is a strong investment it is important to analyze Silvercorp Metals' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Silvercorp Metals' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Silvercorp Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Silvercorp Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Silvercorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Silvercorp Metals guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silvercorp Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silvercorp Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silvercorp Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.