SOFTWARE MANSION (Poland) Price Patterns
| SWM Stock | 36.40 1.80 5.20% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SOFTWARE MANSION hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SOFTWARE MANSION SPOLKA from the perspective of SOFTWARE MANSION response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SOFTWARE MANSION to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SOFTWARE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SOFTWARE MANSION after-hype prediction price | PLN 36.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SOFTWARE |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SOFTWARE MANSION's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SOFTWARE MANSION Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of SOFTWARE MANSION at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SOFTWARE MANSION or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SOFTWARE MANSION, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SOFTWARE MANSION Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SOFTWARE MANSION is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SOFTWARE MANSION backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SOFTWARE MANSION, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.40 | 36.40 | 0.00 |
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SOFTWARE MANSION Hype Timeline
SOFTWARE MANSION SPOLKA is at this time traded for 36.40on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SOFTWARE is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on SOFTWARE MANSION is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.40. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.SOFTWARE MANSION Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SOFTWARE MANSION's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SOFTWARE MANSION's future price movements. Getting to know how SOFTWARE MANSION's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SOFTWARE MANSION may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UCG | UniCredit SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.15 | 3.51 | (2.08) | 9.31 | |
| ALE | Allegroeu SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.97 | (2.96) | 7.91 | |
| SPL | Santander Bank Polska | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.12 | 2.91 | (2.05) | 9.54 | |
| KGH | KGHM Polska Miedz | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.16 | 0.19 | 6.23 | (5.99) | 19.08 |
SOFTWARE MANSION Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SOFTWARE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SOFTWARE using various technical indicators. When you analyze SOFTWARE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Pair Trading with SOFTWARE MANSION
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if SOFTWARE MANSION position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SOFTWARE MANSION will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against SOFTWARE Stock
| 0.45 | PEO | Bank Polska Kasa | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | UCG | UniCredit SpA | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | SAN | Banco Santander SA | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | SPL | Santander Bank Polska | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to SOFTWARE MANSION could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace SOFTWARE MANSION when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back SOFTWARE MANSION - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling SOFTWARE MANSION SPOLKA to buy it.
The correlation of SOFTWARE MANSION is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as SOFTWARE MANSION moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if SOFTWARE MANSION SPOLKA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for SOFTWARE MANSION can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for SOFTWARE Stock Analysis
When running SOFTWARE MANSION's price analysis, check to measure SOFTWARE MANSION's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SOFTWARE MANSION is operating at the current time. Most of SOFTWARE MANSION's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SOFTWARE MANSION's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SOFTWARE MANSION's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SOFTWARE MANSION to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.