Switch Metals (UK) Price Patterns

SWT Stock   12.20  0.30  2.40%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Switch Metals' share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Switch, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 76

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Switch Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Switch Metals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Switch Metals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Switch Metals Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Switch Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Switch Metals Plc from the perspective of Switch Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Switch Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Switch because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Switch Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 12.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Switch Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.279.4413.61
Details

Switch Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Switch Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Switch Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Switch Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Switch Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Switch Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Switch Metals' historical news coverage. Switch Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.03 and 16.37, respectively. We have considered Switch Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.20
12.20
After-hype Price
16.37
Upside
Switch Metals is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Switch Metals Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Switch Metals Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Switch Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Switch Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Switch Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
4.17
 0.00  
  1.20 
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.20
12.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Switch Metals Hype Timeline

Switch Metals Plc is at this time traded for 12.20on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.2. Switch is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Switch Metals is about 111.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.40. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 0.04. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Switch Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Switch Metals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Switch Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Switch Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Switch Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Switch Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0R8QCoor Service Management(0.38)4 per month 1.06  0.12  4.06 (1.92) 10.70 
AAZAnglo Asian Mining 8.50 5 per month 2.56  0.17  4.76 (4.55) 21.80 
ATNEastinco Mining Exploration 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.43 (8.00) 22.51 
0QHXOdfjell Drilling(0.80)3 per month 0.92  0.16  3.14 (1.73) 7.83 
0LO9AMG Advanced Metallurgical 0.00 0 per month 2.41  0.14  5.23 (3.70) 13.93 
BRWMBlackrock World Mining 13.00 8 per month 2.13  0.20  4.39 (2.72) 13.11 
GFMGriffin Mining 9.00 4 per month 1.32  0.25  6.78 (3.17) 12.83 
0A2ZTencent Music Entertainment 0.68 5 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.29 (3.97) 8.50 

Switch Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Switch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Switch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Switch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Switch Metals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Switch Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Switch Metals Plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Switch Metals based on analysis of Switch Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Switch Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Switch Metals's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for Switch Stock analysis

When running Switch Metals' price analysis, check to measure Switch Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Switch Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Switch Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Switch Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Switch Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Switch Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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