Tag Oil Stock Price Prediction
| TAO Stock | CAD 0.16 0.01 5.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | Wall Street Target Price 0.725 |
Using TAG Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TAG Oil from the perspective of TAG Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TAG Oil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TAG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TAG Oil after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TAG |
TAG Oil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TAG Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TAG Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TAG Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TAG Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TAG Oil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TAG Oil's historical news coverage. TAG Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.01, respectively. We have considered TAG Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TAG Oil is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TAG Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.
TAG Oil Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TAG Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TAG Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TAG Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 4.85 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.16 | 0.16 | 0.00 |
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TAG Oil Hype Timeline
TAG Oil is at this time traded for 0.16on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. TAG is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on TAG Oil is about 12933.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.15. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TAG Oil recorded a loss per share of 0.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of April 2020. The firm had 1015:1000 split on the 5th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out TAG Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TAG Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TAG Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TAG Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how TAG Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TAG Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOU | Southern Energy Corp | 0.01 | 2 per month | 5.35 | 0.04 | 18.18 | (10.00) | 43.18 | |
| SNM | ShaMaran Petroleum Corp | 0.01 | 2 per month | 3.65 | 0.14 | 11.11 | (8.33) | 25.87 | |
| TNZ | Tenaz Energy Corp | (0.19) | 1 per month | 2.02 | 0.16 | 5.48 | (4.16) | 25.30 | |
| HME | Hemisphere Energy | 0.02 | 4 per month | 1.20 | (0.06) | 2.22 | (2.19) | 9.14 |
TAG Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TAG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TAG using various technical indicators. When you analyze TAG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TAG Oil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TAG Oil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TAG Oil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TAG Oil based on analysis of TAG Oil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TAG Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TAG Oil's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.96 | 0.86 | Price To Sales Ratio | 90.19 | 94.7 |
Story Coverage note for TAG Oil
The number of cover stories for TAG Oil depends on current market conditions and TAG Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TAG Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TAG Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TAG Oil Short Properties
TAG Oil's future price predictability will typically decrease when TAG Oil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TAG Oil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TAG Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAG Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 155.7 M |
Additional Tools for TAG Stock Analysis
When running TAG Oil's price analysis, check to measure TAG Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TAG Oil is operating at the current time. Most of TAG Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TAG Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TAG Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TAG Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.