TROPHY GAMES (Denmark) Price Patterns

TGAMES Stock  DKK 15.25  0.05  0.33%   
As of today, The value of RSI of TROPHY GAMES's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TROPHY GAMES, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TROPHY GAMES's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TROPHY GAMES Development, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TROPHY GAMES hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TROPHY GAMES Development from the perspective of TROPHY GAMES response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TROPHY GAMES to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TROPHY because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TROPHY GAMES after-hype prediction price

    
  DKK 15.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out TROPHY GAMES Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TROPHY GAMES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1311.8416.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.1914.9016.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5915.1615.72
Details

TROPHY GAMES After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TROPHY GAMES at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TROPHY GAMES or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TROPHY GAMES, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TROPHY GAMES Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TROPHY GAMES's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TROPHY GAMES's historical news coverage. TROPHY GAMES's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.54 and 16.96, respectively. We have considered TROPHY GAMES's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.25
15.25
After-hype Price
16.96
Upside
TROPHY GAMES is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TROPHY GAMES Development is based on 3 months time horizon.

TROPHY GAMES Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TROPHY GAMES is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TROPHY GAMES backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TROPHY GAMES, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.72
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.25
15.25
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

TROPHY GAMES Hype Timeline

TROPHY GAMES Development is at this time traded for 15.25on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TROPHY is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on TROPHY GAMES is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.25. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TROPHY GAMES Development had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out TROPHY GAMES Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

TROPHY GAMES Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TROPHY GAMES's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TROPHY GAMES's future price movements. Getting to know how TROPHY GAMES's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TROPHY GAMES may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ASTKAsetek AS 0.00 0 per month 2.76  0.08  2.41 (4.35) 96.97 
SHAPEShape Robotics AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 21.78 (13.25) 79.02 
DATADataproces Group AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.18 (4.07) 10.29 
IMPEROImpero AS 0.00 0 per month 3.35  0.04  8.59 (6.43) 30.11 
QINTERQ Interline AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.50 (9.21) 32.82 
DANTDantax 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.08 (2.67) 6.74 
KONSOLKonsolidator AS 0.00 0 per month 2.42  0.08  7.87 (4.70) 14.07 
AGILCAgillic AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.17 (1.49) 7.84 
NEXCOMNexcom AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 5.81 (4.71) 14.32 
FASTPCFastpasscorp AS 0.00 0 per month 5.63  0.12  17.65 (11.90) 55.29 

TROPHY GAMES Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TROPHY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TROPHY using various technical indicators. When you analyze TROPHY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TROPHY GAMES Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TROPHY GAMES stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TROPHY GAMES Development, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TROPHY GAMES based on analysis of TROPHY GAMES hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TROPHY GAMES's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TROPHY GAMES's related companies.

Pair Trading with TROPHY GAMES

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if TROPHY GAMES position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TROPHY GAMES will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with TROPHY Stock

  0.82DKIDK Danske Invest DanmarkPairCorr
  0.77DKIEU Danske Invest EuropaPairCorr
  0.61FPILIM Formuepleje LimittellusPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to TROPHY GAMES could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace TROPHY GAMES when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back TROPHY GAMES - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling TROPHY GAMES Development to buy it.
The correlation of TROPHY GAMES is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as TROPHY GAMES moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if TROPHY GAMES Development moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for TROPHY GAMES can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

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When running TROPHY GAMES's price analysis, check to measure TROPHY GAMES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TROPHY GAMES is operating at the current time. Most of TROPHY GAMES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TROPHY GAMES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TROPHY GAMES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TROPHY GAMES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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